Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Melilla		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	4.4	3.2	1.71
	5	3.3	1.72	Watch
	5.09	3.41	1.74
	5.09	3.41	1.74
	3.8	3.2	1.75
	5.1	3.44	1.68
	4.4	3.35	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.93)	3.34 ↑ (3.24)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
19.6%

Draw
27.4%

Ibiza
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.7%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

27.2%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Melilla - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Salcedo J. (G) 2. Pepe Romero 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 3. Yuste A. 21. Mateo J. 5. Masogo A. 18. Siddiki O. 14. Marchena A. 22. Gnali J. 20. Garcia D.	13. Reynet B. (G) 22. Pepe 3. Olaortua I. 23. Escassi A. 5. Jimenez J. 19. Soko P. 8. Fausto A. 21. Eugeni 14. Gallar A. 20. Arroyo R. 9. Obolskiy N.
Substitutes
23. Cantarero O. 8. Cotan A. 7. Garcia M. 12. Hernandez D. 9. Jose Enrique 15. Martin D. 1. Montoya J. (G) 24. Serrano J. (G) 4. Suarez D. 11. Vinicius Tanque	11. Abde 2. Arguelles D. 4. Bobadilla P. 7. Camara S. 10. Jamelli 17. Medina U. 15. Menargues J. 12. Neskes 18. Omoigui C. 26. Prats I. (G)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Ibiza is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Alcoyano - Melilla	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Náxara - Melilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Melilla	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Melilla - Antequera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Ibiza - Málaga	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Mérida AD - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Villanovense - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Ibiza - Intercity	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Granada B - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.12.19	Ibiza - Melilla	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.05.19	Melilla - Ibiza	0:1
06.01.19	Ibiza - Melilla	2:1

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