Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.2
	3	2.9	2.2
	3.3	3	2.25	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.23
	3.23	3.12	2.34
	3.15	3.06	2.3
	3.15	3.05	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.93)	3.02 ↑ (2.8)	2.25 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
29%

Draw
30.3%

Real Madrid Castilla
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

31.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

29.7%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Melilla - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 2. Loren 19. Rodriguez M. (C) 3. Yuste A. 12. Macias A. 11. Bandaogo A. 4. Suarez D. 7. Morillo V. 6. Hernandez P. 17. Perez S. 15. Kavtaradze B.	1. Canizares L. (G) 4. Carrillo A. 16. Asencio R. 39. Cuenca D. 33. Ribes E. 6. Martin M. 20. Angel M. 22. Palacios C. 10. Paz N. 17. Garcia G. 9. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
22. Alassan A. 16. Caro J. 8. Cotan A. 20. Garcia D. 10. Gonzalez J. 9. Jose Enrique 14. Koffi 21. Mateo J. 23. Niang M. 13. Salcedo J. (G) 5. Selasi R. 18. Siddiki O. 24. Victores A. (G)	29. Aparicio E. 21. De Leon J. 24. de Luis M. (G) 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 5. Marvel 23. Munoz V. 3. Obrador R. 15. Pujol E. 2. Tobias V. 8. Zidane T.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Recent matches Melilla is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Madrid Castilla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.02.24	Córdoba - Melilla	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Melilla - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Melilla - Málaga	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Recreativo Huelva - Melilla	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Melilla - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWLW
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.02.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia	5:1 ✺
17.02.24	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Linares Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.08.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Melilla	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.01.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Melilla	1:2

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