Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 24

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.45	2.7	2.9
	2.55	2.8	3
	2.52	2.83	3.1
	2.62	2.81	3.13
	2.59	2.75	3.05
	2.48	2.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.88)	2.77 ↓ (2.9)	3.04 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
36.5%

Draw
33.2%

Alcoyano
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

31.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

30.7%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcoyano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcoyano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melilla - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 2. Loren 19. Rodriguez M. 3. Yuste A. 12. Macias A. 11. Bandaogo A. 4. Suarez D. 22. Alassan A. 18. Siddiki O. 17. Perez S. 9. Jose Enrique	13. Valens J. (G) 17. Lopez S. 4. Vega A. 2. Ferriz P. 16. Farru 3. Nieto S. 7. Armental A. 6. Garcia I. 5. Albisua H. 21. Lara J. A. 12. Selma D.
Substitutes
14. Akurugu A. 16. Caro J. 8. Cotan A. 20. Garcia D. 10. Gonzalez J. 6. Hernandez P. 21. Mateo J. 7. Morillo V. 23. Niang M. 13. Salcedo J. (G) 5. Selasi R. 24. Victores A. (G)	10. Aguero 18. Anton J. 14. Carrasco K. 11. Ganet P. 8. Juanan 1. Perales J. (G) 9. Pradera M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Melilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.02.24	Melilla - Málaga	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Recreativo Huelva - Melilla	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Melilla - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Algeciras - Melilla	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Melilla - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWLT
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.02.24	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	2:3 ✺
03.02.24	Algeciras - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Alcoyano - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Ibiza - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Alcoyano - Antequera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Alcoyano - Melilla	3:0

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