Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Málaga

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.25	1.8
	4.2	3.1	1.77
	4.33	3.25	1.85
	4.4	3.05	1.89
	4.55	3.38	1.82
	4.71	3.26	1.79
	4.33	3.25	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↓ (5)	3.22 ↓ (3.6)	1.82 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
20.8%

Draw
28.6%

Málaga
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

25.6%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

23.4%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Melilla - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Melilla will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 2. Loren 19. Rodriguez M. 3. Yuste A. 12. Macias A. 22. Alassan A. 10. Gonzalez J. (C) 4. Suarez D. 6. Hernandez P. 17. Perez S. 20. Garcia D.	1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 5. Juande 14. Garcia V. 7. Ferreiro D. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 22. Lorenzo D. 12. Molina M. 18. Sanchez D. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
14. Akurugu A. 11. Bandaogo A. 16. Caro J. 8. Cotan A. 9. Jose Enrique 21. Mateo J. 7. Morillo V. 23. Niang M. 13. Salcedo J. (G) 5. Selasi R. 18. Siddiki O. 24. Victores A. (G)	9. Aviles J. 17. Dioni 4. Galilea E. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 29. Merino I. 15. Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 3. Puga C. 11. Villodres K.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Melilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.02.24	Recreativo Huelva - Melilla	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Melilla - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Algeciras - Melilla	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Melilla - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
04.01.24	Granada B - Melilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWLTW
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.02.24	Málaga - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
27.01.24	Granada B - Málaga	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Málaga - Castellón	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Ceuta - Málaga	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Málaga - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.23	Málaga - Melilla	1:0
Club Friendly
07.08.19	Málaga - Melilla	1:0

Melilla - Málaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide