Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Colonia Moscardó		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.15
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.3	3	2.17
	3.22	3.11	2.19	Watch
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.21	3.15	2.21
	3.3	3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	3.04 ↓ (3.09)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
28.1%

Draw
29.9%

Talavera de la Reina
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

29.4%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

29.3%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Colonia Moscardó - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Arroyo N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Moscardó is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Talavera is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Talavera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moscardó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - CD Guadalajara	1:3 ✺
15.12.24	Melilla - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - Atlético Paso	4:3 ✺
01.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - Tenerife B	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Talavera de la Reina	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Talavera de la Reina - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Navalcarnero - Talavera de la Reina	1:4 ✺
01.12.24	Talavera de la Reina - Coria	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.09.24	Talavera de la Reina - Colonia Moscardó	1:0

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