Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Memmingen		Greuther Fürth II

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.5	2.3
	2.78	3.7	2.38
	2.65	3.42	2.27
	1.83	3.8	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.95)	3.61 ↓ (3.73)	2.65 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memmingen
38.1%

Draw
26.2%

Greuther Fürth II
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

24.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

23.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memmingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Memmingen's form might have worsened.

Greuther Fürth II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greuther Fürth II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memmingen than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Memmingen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth II than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greuther Fürth II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Memmingen - Greuther Fürth II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Greuther Fürth II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Imeri A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Barbera M. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Memmingen won 3.

Memmingen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Greuther Fürth II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Memmingen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Memmingen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Memmingen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Memmingen
German Regionalliga Bayern
23.09.25	Memmingen - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Memmingen	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	Memmingen - Buchbach	1:1 ✺
09.09.25	Memmingen - Illertissen	3:2 ✺
05.09.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Memmingen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWTWW
- Greuther Fürth II
German Regionalliga Bayern
23.09.25	Greuther Fürth II - Nürnberg II	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Greuther Fürth II - Schwaben Augsburg	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Greuther Fürth II - Eichstätt	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Greuther Fürth II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
26.04.24	Memmingen - Greuther Fürth II	1:0
08.10.23	Greuther Fürth II - Memmingen	1:2
23.04.22	Greuther Fürth II - Memmingen	0:1
24.09.21	Memmingen - Greuther Fürth II	3:3
16.08.19	Memmingen - Greuther Fürth II	0:1
30.03.19	Greuther Fürth II - Memmingen	4:2
07.09.18	Memmingen - Greuther Fürth II	3:1

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