Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: AutoZone Park (Memphis, TN)

Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Memphis 901		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4	5.25
	1.52	4.2	5.5
	1.51	4.17	5.57
	1.53	4.15	5.84	Watch
	1.51	4.15	5.72	Watch
	1.52	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	5.56 ↓ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis 901
61.1%

Draw
22.3%

El Paso Locomotive
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22.3%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

20.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis 901 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Memphis 901, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Memphis 901 - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Henry T. (G) 18. Quezada A. 91. Cissoko A. 8. Turci L. 14. Ward A. (C) 6. Duncan Z. 4. Hyndman E. 9. Nascimento L. 5. Careaga S. 20. Pickering N. 99. Bakero J.	23. Waite J. (G) 4. Stauffer L. 2. Craig B. 15. Dollenmayer N. 33. Ruiz R. 12. Rivas W. 21. Akinyode B. 30. Coronado R. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 7. Rivas J. 10. Moreno A.
Substitutes
21. Armenakas P. 10. Lapa B. 11. Marlon 7. Meza N. 23. Paul L. 26. Seeger A. (G) 3. Vom Steeg C.	31. Hinds N. 16. Lyons M. 18. Moshobane T. 1. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 27. Petrovic P. 17. Zacarias R.
Coaches
Glass S.	Cabrera W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Stauffer L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Pickering N. ↓, Armenakas P. ↑,
54', Hyndman E. ↓, Lapa B. ↑,
54', Bakero J. ↓, Marlon ↑,
56', Rivas J. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
56', Rivas W. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
57', Turci L. 🟨,
61', Ward A. 🟨,
67', Marlon 🟨,
74', Moreno A. 🟨,
75', Quezada A. ↓, Vom Steeg C. ↑,
86', Cissoko A. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
89', Coronado R. 🟨,
90+5', Nascimento L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Recent matches Memphis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

El Paso has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Memphis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Memphis is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Memphis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Memphis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis 901
USL Championship
27.07.24	Memphis 901 - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Tulsa - Memphis 901	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Detroit City - Memphis 901	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Orange County SC - Memphis 901	4:1 ✺
28.06.24	Memphis 901 - Phoenix Rising	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
27.07.24	El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United	1:2 ✺
19.07.24	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	2:0 ✺
12.07.24	El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights	0:2 ✺
26.06.24	Rhode Island - El Paso Locomotive	3:0 ✺
19.06.24	Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
17.05.24	El Paso Locomotive - Memphis 901	1:2
07.10.23	Memphis 901 - El Paso Locomotive	4:0

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