The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Paso Locomotive 43.1%
Draw 25.5%
New Mexico United 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
26.5%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
27.1%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Gillingham B. (G) 18. Quezada A. 30. Coronado R. 93. Tony Alfaro 16. Gabriel Torres 8. Sainte C. 5. Gomez D. 2. Cardona N. 25. Ortiz A. (C) 14. Rubin R. 9. Abitia D.
13. Shakes K. (G) 27. Howell M. 4. Keller K. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 19. Bailey Z. 11. Nava C. 29. Archimede L. 5. Harris D. 10. Hurst G. (C)
Substitutes
11. Farkarlun B. 91. Fernandez C. 29. Hoban K. 19. Mendez A. 28. Mora O. 10. Moreno A. 99. Romero A. (G) 21. Twumasi K.
56. Arozarena R. (G) 24. Blackett T. 17. LaCava J. 31. Melto Quiah J. 21. Noel V. 6. Zelalem G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Harris D. ↓, Melto Quiah J. ↑,
60', Hurst G. ↓, Noel V. ↑,
60', Gloster C. ↓, Blackett T. ↑,
61', Nava C. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
65', Abitia D. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
65', Gomez D. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
65', Quezada A. ↓, Farkarlun B. ↑,
72', Coronado R. ↓, Twumasi K. ↑,
79', Rubin R. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
83', Archimede L. ↓, Zelalem G. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Melto Quiah J. ⚽, Keller K. (A),
87', Fernandez C. 🟨,
89', 0 - 2, Bailey Z. ⚽, LaCava J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 3.
El Paso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
New Mexico is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
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Gillingham B. (G) 
Tony Alfaro 
Gabriel Torres 
Sainte C. 
Cardona N. 
Rubin R. 
Howell M. 
Hamalainen N. 
Bailey Z. 
Archimede L. 
Harris D. 
Hurst G. (C) 
Farkarlun B. 
Moreno A. 
Arozarena R. (G) 
Blackett T. 
Noel V. 
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