The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Paso Locomotive 52.5%
Draw 23.8%
New Mexico United 23.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.3%
22.6%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
22.2%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Romero A. (G) 21. Twumasi K. 25. Ortiz A. 15. Dollenmayer N. 11. Farkarlun B. 30. Coronado R. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 12. Ruiz R. 19. Mendez A. 14. Rubin R. 13. Avila R.
13. Shakes K. (G) 17. LaCava J. 4. Keller K. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 28. Wilkerson C. 14. Dennis C. 21. Noel V. 31. Melto Quiah J. 10. Hurst G. (C)
Substitutes
33. Alphin R. (G) 2. Cardona N. 5. Gomez D. 29. Hoban K. 7. Jones Z. 18. Quezada A. 8. Sainte C. 93. Tony Alfaro
24. Blackett T. 5. Harris D. 27. Howell M. 11. Nava C. 33. Pannenberg A. (G) 9. Rennicks J. 6. Zelalem G.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.
Sanchez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Keller K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Farkarlun B. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
73', Wilkerson C. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
73', Dennis C. ↓, Zelalem G. ↑,
73', LaCava J. ↓, Howell M. ↑,
77', Coronado R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
77', Avila R. ↓, Jones Z. ↑,
83', Ruiz R. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
87', Keller K. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
90+2', Mendez A. ↓, Sainte C. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Noel V. ⚽, Zelalem G. (A),
90+6', Noel V. 🟨,
Preview
El Paso is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
El Paso carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, El Paso has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:24 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for El Paso against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 14:14 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).