The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oakland Roots 39.5%
Draw 25.9%
El Paso Locomotive 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
27.1%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
26.4%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Paso Locomotive, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Spiegel R. (G) 17. Tingey K. 34. Edwards M. 15. Hackshaw N. 11. de Vicente J. 27. Jacquesson B. 6. Byaruhanga B. 4. McCabe T. (C) 7. Prentice W. 77. Bettache F. 9. Wilson P.
99. Romero A. (G) 18. Quezada A. 25. Ortiz A. 93. Tony Alfaro 21. Twumasi K. 16. Gabriel Torres 19. Mendez A. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 30. Coronado R. 10. Moreno A. 14. Rubin R.
Substitutes
8. Elmasnaouy A. 12. Gibson T. 19. Kiil J. 21. Lepley T. 1. McIntosh K. (G) 44. Roberson B. 99. Trejo D. 10. Valot F.
9. Abitia D. 2. Cardona N. 15. Dollenmayer N. 5. Gomez D. 29. Hoban K. 1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 28. Mora O. 8. Sainte C. F.
Coaches
Martin R.
Gonzalez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Rubin R. ⚽, Quezada A. (A),
18', Ortiz A. 🟥,
45+5', 1 - 1, Wilson P. ⚽, de Vicente J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jacquesson B. ↓, Valot F. ↑,
55', Byaruhanga B. ↓, Lepley T. ↑,
58', Calvillo E. 🟨,
60', Rubin R. 🟨,
65', Bettache F. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
67', Gabriel Torres ↓, Dollenmayer N. ↑,
67', Moreno A. ↓, Abitia D. ↑,
76', Coronado R. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,
77', Calvillo E. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
77', Tingey K. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
77', de Vicente J. ↓, Kiil J. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Lepley T. ⚽, Prentice W. (A),
88', Mendez A. ↓, Mora O. ↑,
90+3', Valot F. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 2.
Oakland Roots has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
El Paso is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Oakland Roots may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Oakland Roots won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
El Paso Locomotive - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
North-central-america
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Spiegel R. (G) 
Tingey K. 
Hackshaw N. 
de Vicente J. 
Jacquesson B. 
Byaruhanga B. 
Bettache F. 
Wilson P. 
Romero A. (G) 
Gabriel Torres 
Calvillo E. (C) 
Rubin R. 
Cardona N. 
Dollenmayer N. 
Sainte C. F. 
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