Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Bally Sports SoCal, Bally Sports, CBS, FuboTV
World	YouTube


	Orange County SC		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.1
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.28	3.38	2.1
	3.26	3.43	2.14	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.05
	3.27	3.38	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.49)	3.31 ↑ (3.28)	2.1 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
28.7%

Draw
27.7%

Memphis 901
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orange County SC's form might have worsened.

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Memphis 901's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orange County SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Memphis 901, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Orange County SC - Memphis 901 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shutler C. (G) 2. Lambe O. 12. Chavez J. 33. Miles A. 23. Doghman R. 35. Norris B. 15. Chattha A. 26. Scott K. (C) 14. Flood R. 11. Jamison B. 9. Zubak E.	1. Deric T. (G) 3. Vom Steeg C. 91. Cissoko A. 8. Turci L. 14. Ward A. (C) 6. Duncan Z. 5. Careaga S. 9. Nascimento L. 10. Lapa B. 4. Hyndman E. 11. Marlon
Substitutes
25. Ayoub R. 24. Barjolo B. 7. Dunbar C. 20. Ferree D. (G) 27. Lee M. 32. Ruiz N. 29. Santana J. (G) 17. Sorto C.	77. Borczak D. 19. Jimenez O. 23. Paul L. 20. Pickering N. 18. Quezada A. 26. Seeger A. (G) 2. Tulu
Coaches
Hardyman P.	Glass S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Jamison B. ⚽, Scott K. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Zubak E. (Pen),
43', 3 - 0, Lambe O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Zubak E. 🟨,
56', Chattha A. 🟨,
60', Hyndman E. 🟨,
61', Miles A. 🟨,
63', Doghman R. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
63', Norris B. ↓, Ayoub R. ↑,
66', Ward A. 🟨,
67', Zubak E. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
76', Nascimento L. ↓, Borczak D. ↑,
76', Lapa B. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
77', Vom Steeg C. 🟨,
79', 4 - 0, Sorto C. ⚽, Scott K. (A),
85', Vom Steeg C. ↓, Tulu ↑,
86', Marlon ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
86', Ward A. ↓, Jimenez O. ↑,
87', Chattha A. ↓, Ruiz N. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Borczak D. ⚽, Turci L. (A),
90+1', Pickering N. 🟨,
90+3', Tulu 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Orange County SC is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Memphis is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Memphis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Orange County SC have a series of guest games.

Recently Memphis have a series of home games.

Memphis will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Orange County SC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
03.07.24	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Indy Eleven - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC	4:2 ✺
08.06.24	Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLL
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
28.06.24	Memphis 901 - Phoenix Rising	5:1 ✺
22.06.24	Las Vegas Lights - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Memphis 901 - New Mexico United	2:1 ✺
12.06.24	Memphis 901 - Rhode Island	2:2 ✺
08.06.24	Memphis 901 - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
06.04.24	Memphis 901 - Orange County SC	0:2
22.07.23	Memphis 901 - Orange County SC	3:4
03.09.22	Orange County SC - Memphis 901	1:1

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