Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	LA Galaxy II		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.9	1.77	Watch
	3.5	3.85	1.77
	3.75	3.7	1.72
	4.02	4	1.77
	3.98	3.98	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.57)	3.89 ↓ (4.01)	1.75 (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LA Galaxy II
24.4%

Draw
23.4%

Phoenix Rising
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

22.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

22.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LA Galaxy II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

LA Galaxy II - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 12 (19.96%), has project points - 36, has currently - 8, has a small chance of playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Phoenix Rising has the most likely position - 2 (17.64%), has project points - 59, has currently - 15, has a good chance of playoffs (88%), has a good chance of qtrs (55%), has a chance of semis (28%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has small quality 14, small importance 12, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 1.

Recent matches LA Galaxy II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Phoenix Rising is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Phoenix Rising have a series of home games.

In this match Phoenix Rising is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 25-50.

Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy II won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LA Galaxy II
USL Championship
23.04.22	Las Vegas Lights - LA Galaxy II	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	LA Galaxy II - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Phoenix Rising - LA Galaxy II	3:1 ✺
02.04.22	Indy Eleven - LA Galaxy II	1:1 ✺
23.03.22	LA Galaxy II - Rio Grande Valley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLTW
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
23.04.22	Phoenix Rising - Miami	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Phoenix Rising - LA Galaxy II	3:1 ✺
02.04.22	San Antonio - Phoenix Rising	0:2 ✺
26.03.22	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.04.22	Phoenix Rising - LA Galaxy II	3:1
29.09.21	LA Galaxy II - Phoenix Rising	3:0
11.09.21	LA Galaxy II - Phoenix Rising	3:4
17.07.21	Phoenix Rising - LA Galaxy II	5:0
03.07.21	Phoenix Rising - LA Galaxy II	3:0
03.10.20	Phoenix Rising - LA Galaxy II	4:1
19.08.20	LA Galaxy II - Phoenix Rising	1:4

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