The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Memphis 901 53.5%
Draw 25%
Miami 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
26%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
24.7%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Memphis 901's performance.
Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+5%)
Memphis 901 - Miami Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Romig A. (G) 27. Peters J. 3. Vom Steeg C. 16. Smith G. 19. Buckmaster R. 18. Kelly J. 7. Lapa B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 77. Borczak D. 11. Kissiedou L. 20. Pickering N.
13. Zendejas A. (G) 5. Chapman-Page C. 4. Craig P. (C) 6. Hernandez M. 23. Thorn C. 18. Dowouna D. 21. Akinyode B. 3. Stanley A. 99. Sorto C. 14. Telfer R. 9. Murphy K.
Substitutes
10. Da Costa R. 24. Dally R. 35. Dyer N. 26. Seeger A. (G) 8. Turci L. 55. Velasquez S. 14. Ward A.
8. Cabral G. 15. Di Mercurio L. 1. McGuire J. (G) 20. Mines B. 7. Repetto C. 17. Salazar M. 2. Segbers M.
Coaches
Glass S.
Pulis A.
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
Memphis has the most likely position - 3 (15.35%), project points - 52, currently - 15, a good chance of playoffs (92%), a good chance of qtrs (52%), a chance of semis (25%), a small chance of final (13%), a very small chance of win league (5%).
Miami has the most likely position - 8 (13.22%), project points - 41, currently - 12, a good chance of playoffs (60%), a chance of qtrs (24%), a small chance of semis (10%), a very small chance of final (4%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
This event has small quality17, small importance17, small match rating17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Memphis is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Miami is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Miami could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Memphis is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Memphis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Memphis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
Watch
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Romig A. (G) 
Peters J. 
Lapa B. 
Molloy A. (C) 
Kissiedou L. 
Zendejas A. (G) 
Chapman-Page C. 
Hernandez M. 
Dowouna D. 
Akinyode B. 
Sorto C. 
Velasquez S. 
Repetto C. 
Salazar M. 
Glass S. 
Pulis A. 
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