Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 12 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: AutoZone Park (Memphis, TN)

Referee: Tattersall E. (Usa)


	Memphis 901		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2	3.5	3.4
	2.57	3.05	2.57
	2.57	3.05	2.57
	2.3	3.4	2.62
	2.44	3.24	2.73	Watch
	2.16	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.63)	3.26 ↓ (3.67)	2.75 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis 901
38.8%

Draw
28%

Rhode Island
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis 901 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Memphis 901's form might have worsened.

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rhode Island's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Memphis 901, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rhode Island, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Memphis 901 - Rhode Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deric T. (G) 3. Vom Steeg C. 91. Cissoko A. 8. Turci L. 14. Ward A. 4. Hyndman E. 10. Lapa B. 6. Duncan Z. 9. Nascimento L. 11. Marlon 77. Borczak D.	1. Koke Vegas (C) 12. Holstad C. 15. Nodarse F. 24. Yao K. 3. Turnbull S. 23. Ybarra M. 28. McGlynn C. 16. Alves G. A. 21. Twumasi K. 14. Doyle M. 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
5. Careaga S. 19. Jimenez O. 7. Meza N. 23. Paul L. 20. Pickering N. 26. Seeger A. (G) 2. Tulu	18. Brito J. 10. Dikwa A. 11. Fuson N. 22. Lee J. (G) 25. Orduy K. 7. Saydee P. 4. Smith C.
Coaches
Glass S.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, McGlynn C. ⚽,
33', Doyle M. 🟨,
44', Lapa B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', McGlynn C. ↓, Brito J. ↑,
64', Doyle M. ↓, Fuson N. ↑,
64', Borczak D. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
64', Duncan Z. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Brito J. ⚽,
75', Careaga S. 🟨,
75', Alves G. A. 🟨,
82', Lapa B. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
82', Nascimento L. ↓, Jimenez O. ↑,
83', Hyndman E. ↓, Paul L. ↑,
85', Turnbull S. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
88', Koke Vegas 🟥,
89', Fuson N. ↓, Lee J. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Jimenez O. ⚽,
90+2', Ward A. 🟨,
90+3', Pickering N. ↓, Tulu ↑,
90+5', Holstad C. 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 2, Marlon (Pen),
90+12', Marlon 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Recent matches Memphis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rhode Island is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Memphis is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis 901
USL Championship
08.06.24	Memphis 901 - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	San Antonio - Memphis 901	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Memphis 901 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0 ✺
17.05.24	El Paso Locomotive - Memphis 901	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Monterey Bay - Memphis 901	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWWT
- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
08.06.24	Rhode Island - Detroit City	0:2 ✺
01.06.24	Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Rhode Island - Louisville City	0:0 ✺
17.05.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rhode Island	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTLT

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