Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Southwest University Park (El Paso, TX)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)


	El Paso Locomotive		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.4
	2.6	3.3	2.55
	2.69	3.35	2.61
	2.69	3.22	2.61
	2.63	3.43	2.44	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.74)	3.3 ↑ (3.26)	2.52 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Paso Locomotive
35.4%

Draw
27.9%

Memphis 901
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.4%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Memphis 901 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

El Paso Locomotive - Memphis 901 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Waite J. (G) 16. Lyons M. 2. Craig B. 93. Alfaro J. 4. Stauffer L. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 22. Rose L. 21. Akinyode B. 10. Moreno A. 9. Dhillon J. 18. Moshobane T.	1. Deric T. (G) 19. Jimenez O. 91. Cissoko A. 8. Turci L. 14. Ward A. (C) 6. Duncan Z. 4. Hyndman E. 11. Marlon 10. Lapa B. 9. Nascimento L. 77. Borczak D.
Substitutes
77. Abarca D. 15. Dollenmayer N. 20. Garay J. 31. Hinds N. 8. Moreno L. 99. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 1. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 14. Pelua Paez G. N. 11. Rivas J.	5. Careaga S. 23. Paul L. 20. Pickering N. 18. Quezada A. 26. Seeger A. (G) 2. Tulu 3. Vom Steeg C.
Coaches
Clarhaut B.	Glass S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Ward A. (Own goal),
29', 1 - 1, Marlon ⚽, Jimenez O. (A),
32', Lyons M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Stauffer L. 🟨,
50', Rose L. 🟨,
51', Turci L. 🟨,
56', Dhillon J. 🟨,
58', Alfaro J. 🟨,
62', Stauffer L. ↓, Hinds N. ↑,
62', Dhillon J. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
64', Deric T. 🟨,
69', Borczak D. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
69', Jimenez O. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
71', Cissoko A. 🟨,
72', Hinds N. 🟨,
74', Lyons M. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
81', Rose L. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
81', Craig B. ↓, Dollenmayer N. ↑,
85', Duncan Z. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
85', Hyndman E. ↓, Paul L. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Lapa B. ⚽, Marlon (A),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

El Paso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Memphis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Paso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently El Paso have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches El Paso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
10.05.24	Loudoun United - El Paso Locomotive	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Union Omaha - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTL
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
11.05.24	Monterey Bay - Memphis 901	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.24	FC Dallas - Memphis 901	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
04.05.24	Memphis 901 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	4:1 ✺
27.04.24	Birmingham Legion - Memphis 901	0:3 ✺
20.04.24	Memphis 901 - Monterey Bay	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.10.23	Memphis 901 - El Paso Locomotive	4:0

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