Match Info

GERMANY: DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Hansch-Arena (Meppen)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Sport 3
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, WOW
North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Slovakia	Voyo
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Meppen		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	10	6	1.25	Watch
	10	6.5	1.26
	12	6.5	1.25	Watch
	10.19	6.41	1.22
	10.44	6.31	1.26	Watch
	10	6	1.2
	11	6.05	1.26	Watch
	12	6.5	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.7 ↑ (7.13)	6.28 ↑ (5.22)	1.24 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meppen
8.8%

Draw
15.1%

Hamburger SV
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

18.5%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

18.1%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meppen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamburger SV's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger SV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Meppen - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Meppen will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hamburg will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Punt J. (G) 19. Sprekelmeyer L. 5. Fedl J. 33. Rankic S. 31. Prasse L. 3. Missner T. 17. Stuhlmacher M. 20. Touglo N. 13. Wensing J. 8. Evseev W. 10. Janssen M.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 30. Hefti S. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 18. Jatta B. 23. Meffert J. 14. Reis L. 46. Balde F. 17. Karabec A. 10. Pherai I. 11. Konigsdorffer R.
Substitutes
9. Demaj L. 30. Haritonov D. 4. Lange F. 6. Moller T. 11. Schepp C. 1. Schmidt B. (G) 23. Wessels N. 29. Zumdieck L. 27. Zumdieck M.	9. Glatzel R. 3. Heyer M. 33. Katterbach N. 12. Mickel T. (G) 47. Oliveira N. 21. Oztunali L. 6. Poreba L. 13. Ramos G. 27. Selke D.
Coaches
Beniermann L.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Pherai I. ⚽, Meffert J. (A),
30', Sprekelmeyer L. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Muheim M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
46', Stuhlmacher M. ↓, Schepp C. ↑,
55', Jatta B. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
56', 0 - 3, Selke D. ⚽, Konigsdorffer R. (A),
59', 0 - 4, Pherai I. ⚽, Selke D. (A),
62', Touglo N. 🟨,
62', Evseev W. ↓, Moller T. ↑,
62', Wensing J. ↓, Demaj L. ↑,
64', Meffert J. ↓, Poreba L. ↑,
64', Muheim M. ↓, Katterbach N. ↑,
70', Prasse L. ↓, Zumdieck L. ↑,
71', 0 - 5, Balde F. ⚽, Pherai I. (A),
75', Balde F. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
75', Pherai I. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
78', Touglo N. ↓, Haritonov D. ↑,
80', 0 - 6, Moller T. (Own goal),
89', 0 - 7, Glatzel R. ⚽, Karabec A. (A),
90', 1 - 7, Haritonov D. ⚽, Fedl J. (A),

Preview

Meppen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hamburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Meppen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hamburg have a series of home games.

In this match Hamburg is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Meppen
German Regionalliga North
11.08.24	Meppen - Drochtersen Assel	0:0 ✺
02.08.24	Kickers Emden - Meppen	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Meppen - SC Weiche-08	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Cambuur - Meppen	3:0 ✺
29.06.24	Bocholt - Meppen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLTLL
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	Köln - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Hamburger SV - Aris	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Hamburger SV - Cardiff City	0:3 ✺
20.07.24	Hamburger SV - Nantes	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTLW

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