Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN Belgium, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN Eleven 3 Portugal, DAZN Portugal, Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sky Sports app


	Hamburger SV		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.33	4.1	Watch
	1.73	4.2	4.1
	1.7	4.2	4.2
	1.85	4.34	4.01
	1.75	4.3	4.06	Watch
	1.7	4.2	4	Watch
	1.74	4.3	4.09	Watch
	1.7	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	4.26 ↓ (4.36)	4.1 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
54.6%

Draw
22.2%

Hertha Berlin
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

21.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

21.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	5.3%	7.9%

Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 18. Jatta B. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 8. Elfadli D. 23. Meffert J. 14. Reis L. 17. Karabec A. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 7. Dompe J.	1. Ernst T. (G) 16. Kenny J. 44. Gechter L. 4. Kempf M. O. 33. Karbownik M. 19. Dudziak J. 6. Demme D. (C) 10. Maza I. 22. Winkler M. 25. Tabakovic H. 39. Scherhant D.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 30. Hefti S. 3. Heyer M. 33. Katterbach N. 12. Mickel T. (G) 21. Oztunali L. 10. Pherai I. 13. Ramos G. 27. Selke D.	26. Christensen G. 31. Dardai M. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 38. Gottschalk J. 41. Klemens P. 37. Leistner T. 9. Prevljak S. 18. Schuler L. 42. Zeefuik D.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Fiel C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Jatta B. (A),
35', Dudziak J. 🟨,
39', Elfadli D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dudziak J. ↓, Zeefuik D. ↑,
61', Schonlau S. 🟨,
63', Gechter L. ↓, Leistner T. ↑,
67', Jatta B. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
67', Reis L. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
70', Dompe J. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
76', Karbownik M. ↓, Dardai M. ↑,
76', Scherhant D. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
83', Karabec A. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
83', Elfadli D. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
84', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Kenny J. ⚽,
90+2', Winkler M. ↓, Christensen G. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 3.

Hamburg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hertha is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hertha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hamburg have a series of home games.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
02.08.24	Köln - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Hamburger SV - Aris	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Hamburger SV - Cardiff City	0:3 ✺
20.07.24	Hamburger SV - Nantes	4:2 ✺
13.07.24	Hamburger SV - Lübeck	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWW
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
03.08.24	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Hertha Berlin - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
25.07.24	Huddersfield Town - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
20.07.24	NEC Nijmegen - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
16.07.24	Energie Cottbus - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
03.02.24	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	1:2
German DFB Pokal
06.12.23	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	4:3 penalties
German 2 Bundesliga
19.08.23	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	3:0
German Bundesliga
23.05.22	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	0:2
19.05.22	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	0:1
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	2:0
German Bundesliga
17.03.18	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	1:2

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