Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:30	Fox Sports
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Belgium	20:30	DAZN Belgium, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Moja TV
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 3
Cyprus	21:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	18:30	Viaplay
Israel	21:30	Sport 3
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Connect
Malta	20:30	TSN Malta 2
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Poland	20:30	Viaplay
Portugal	19:30	DAZN Eleven 3 Portugal, DAZN Portugal, Eleven Sports 3
Romania	21:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima Sport 3
Russia	21:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Slovenia	20:30	Sport TV1
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect
Turkey	21:30	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	18:30	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sky Sports app


	Hamburger SV		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.33	4.1	Watch
	1.73	4.2	4.1
	1.7	4.2	4.2
	1.85	4.34	4.01
	1.75	4.3	4.06	Watch
	1.7	4.2	4	Watch
	1.74	4.3	4.09	Watch
	1.7	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	4.26 ↓ (4.36)	4.1 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
54.6%

Draw
22.2%

Hertha Berlin
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

21.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

21.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	5.3%	7.9%

Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 18. Jatta B. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 8. Elfadli D. 23. Meffert J. 14. Reis L. 17. Karabec A. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 7. Dompe J.	1. Ernst T. (G) 16. Kenny J. 44. Gechter L. 4. Kempf M. O. 33. Karbownik M. 19. Dudziak J. 6. Demme D. (C) 10. Maza I. 22. Winkler M. 25. Tabakovic H. 39. Scherhant D.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 30. Hefti S. 3. Heyer M. 33. Katterbach N. 12. Mickel T. (G) 21. Oztunali L. 10. Pherai I. 13. Ramos G. 27. Selke D.	26. Christensen G. 31. Dardai M. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 38. Gottschalk J. 41. Klemens P. 37. Leistner T. 9. Prevljak S. 18. Schuler L. 42. Zeefuik D.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Fiel C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Jatta B. (A),
35', Dudziak J. 🟨,
39', Elfadli D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dudziak J. ↓, Zeefuik D. ↑,
61', Schonlau S. 🟨,
63', Gechter L. ↓, Leistner T. ↑,
67', Jatta B. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
67', Reis L. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
70', Dompe J. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
76', Karbownik M. ↓, Dardai M. ↑,
76', Scherhant D. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
83', Karabec A. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
83', Elfadli D. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
84', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Kenny J. ⚽,
90+2', Winkler M. ↓, Christensen G. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 3.

Hamburg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hertha is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hertha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hamburg have a series of home games.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
02.08.24	Köln - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Hamburger SV - Aris	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Hamburger SV - Cardiff City	0:3 ✺
20.07.24	Hamburger SV - Nantes	4:2 ✺
13.07.24	Hamburger SV - Lübeck	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWW
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
03.08.24	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Hertha Berlin - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
25.07.24	Huddersfield Town - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
20.07.24	NEC Nijmegen - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
16.07.24	Energie Cottbus - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
03.02.24	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	1:2
German DFB Pokal
06.12.23	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	4:3 penalties
German 2 Bundesliga
19.08.23	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	3:0
German Bundesliga
23.05.22	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	0:2
19.05.22	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	0:1
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	2:0
German Bundesliga
17.03.18	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	1:2

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