Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eintracht Frankfurt		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.72	4	4.4
	1.68	4.15	4.7	Watch
	1.7	4.45	4.87
	1.77	4.15	4.13	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.4	Watch
	1.7	4.42	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 (1.7)	4.2 (4.2)	4.51 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
56.1%

Draw
22.7%

Hamburger SV
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

22.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

22%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	6.9%	17.2%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zetterer M. (G) 5. Amenda A. 15. Skhiri E. 4. Koch R. (C) 21. Brown N. 16. Larsson H. 6. Hojlund O. 7. Knauff A. 42. Uzun C. Y. 25. Kalimuendo A. 9. Burkardt J.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 24. Capaldo N. (C) 25. Torunarigha J. 17. Omari W. 18. Jatta B. 21. Remberg N. 6. Lokonga A. S. 23. Gronbaek A. 20. Vieira F. 9. Glatzel R. 11. Konigsdorffer R.
Substitutes
29. Amaimouni A. 31. Arrhov L. 19. Bahoya J. 8. Chaibi F. 11. Ebnoutalib Y. 27. Gotze M. 40. Kaua Santos (G) 13. Kristensen R. 3. Theate A.	7. Dompe J. 19. Downs D. 8. Elfadli D. 16. Gocholeishvili G. 14. Philippe R. 15. Poulsen Y. 49. Stange O. 12. Tangvik S. (G) 44. Vuskovic L.
Coaches
Riera A.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Uzun C. Y. ⚽, Burkardt J. (A),
51', 1 - 1, Gronbaek A. ⚽, Omari W. (A),
52', Hojlund O. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Vieira F. ⚽, Gronbaek A. (A),
61', Burkardt J. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
61', Skhiri E. ↓, Kristensen R. ↑,
61', Hojlund O. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,
68', Jatta B. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
68', Glatzel R. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
71', Kristensen R. 🟨,
78', Gronbaek A. ↓, Vuskovic L. ↑,
79', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Elfadli D. ↑,
82', Larsson H. ↓, Ebnoutalib Y. ↑,
82', Knauff A. ↓, Amaimouni A. ↑,
83', Torunarigha J. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
85', Kalimuendo A. 🟨,
88', Capaldo N. 🟨,
88', Uzun C. Y. 🟨,
90+10', Bahoya J. 🟨,
90+12', Kristensen R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 3.

Eintracht has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hamburg has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Eintracht is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Eintracht: Collins N. (Ankle Injury) Doan R. (Yellow Cards) Kaua Santos (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Muheim M. (Injury) Otele P. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Bahoya J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Hamburg: Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Eintracht Frankfurt: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9:10	-1	5
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2:13	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
25.04.26	Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWTL
- Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga
25.04.26	Hamburger SV - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1
05.05.18	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV	3:0
12.12.17	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2
18.03.17	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV	0:0
21.10.16	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:3
19.02.16	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV	0:0
19.09.15	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:0

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