Match Info

Date: 9 November 2021, Tuesday


	East Thurrock United		Lewes

	1	X	2
	6	5	1.34
	6.4	4.9	1.33
	6.69	4.95	1.4
	6.5	4.4	1.36
	6.75	5.05	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.47 ↑ (6.3)	4.86 ↑ (4.8)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

East Thurrock United
14.1%

Draw
18.8%

Lewes
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

19.3%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

16.5%

77.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Thurrock United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lewes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

East Thurrock United - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)).

East Thurrock has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lewes is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lewes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lewes is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lewes to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 9 head-to-head matches East Thurrock won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams East Thurrock won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Thurrock United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.11.21	East Thurrock United - Leatherhead	0:1 ✺
26.10.21	Margate - East Thurrock United	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	East Thurrock United - Enfield Town	0:8 ✺
19.10.21	East Thurrock United - Bishops Stortford	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Carshalton Athletic - East Thurrock United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.11.21	Bishops Stortford - Lewes	1:1 ✺
02.11.21	Lewes - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
23.10.21	Worthing - Lewes	5:4 ✺
12.10.21	Lewes - Leatherhead	5:0 ✺
09.10.21	Margate - Lewes	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.01.20	Lewes - East Thurrock United	0:3
12.10.19	East Thurrock United - Lewes	1:0
23.04.16	Lewes - East Thurrock United	1:1
05.12.15	East Thurrock United - Lewes	4:1
31.01.15	Lewes - East Thurrock United	3:1
09.09.14	East Thurrock United - Lewes	0:0
28.12.13	Lewes - East Thurrock United	2:2

Upcoming Matches