Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Merthyr Town		Cardiff City U21

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.58	3.05
	2.06	3.74	3.00	Watch
	1.96	3.64	3.18	Watch
	1.67	4	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.67)	3.74 ↓ (4)	3.3 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
47.8%

Draw
24.4%

Cardiff City U21
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

22.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merthyr Town's form might have worsened.

Cardiff City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Merthyr Town - Cardiff City U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff U21 (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
7', 1 - 1, Pearce L. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, George T. ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, Churchley K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
51', 2 - 3, ⚽,
54', 2 - 4, ⚽,
72', 3 - 4, ⚽,
79', 4 - 4, ⚽,
88', 4 - 5, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Merthyr is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Merthyr Town - Llanelli	6:1 ✺
02.07.25	Pen-y-Bont - Merthyr Town	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
26.04.25	Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town	4:0 ✺
21.04.25	Merthyr Town - Hungerford Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLW
- Cardiff City U21
Welsh League Cup
19.07.25	Ammanford - Cardiff City U21	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Yeovil Town - Cardiff City U21	2:3 ✺
English Professional Development League
06.05.25	Cardiff City U21 - Burnley U21	1:4 ✺
02.05.25	Cardiff City U21 - Watford U21	3:1 ✺
29.04.25	Hull City U21 - Cardiff City U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
17.09.24	Cardiff City U21 - Merthyr Town	2:1

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