Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 41

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Merthyr Town		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	6.25
	1.33	5	6.6
	1.35	5.76	6.23
	1.37	5.39	6.73	Watch
	1.32	4.95	7.15
	1.33	5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)	5.18 ↑ (4.91)	6.59 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
68.4%

Draw
17.7%

Hungerford Town
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

18.8%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

18.1%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

Merthyr Town - Hungerford Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Hungerford (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hungerford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Tooze K. 🟥,
45+4', 1 - 0, Simpson K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
84', 2 - 0, Simpson K. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, Rees R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Merthyr is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:4 (average 2.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 3.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
18.04.25	Sholing - Merthyr Town	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Merthyr Town - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Hanwell Town - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Winchester City - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Merthyr Town - Chertsey Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWW
- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
18.04.25	Hungerford Town - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Marlow - Hungerford Town	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Hungerford Town - Totton	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Frome Town - Hungerford Town	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hungerford Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.12.24	Hungerford Town - Merthyr Town	1:3
01.04.24	Merthyr Town - Hungerford Town	3:0
01.01.24	Hungerford Town - Merthyr Town	1:1
English Southern Premier League
02.04.16	Hungerford Town - Merthyr Town	1:0
27.10.15	Merthyr Town - Hungerford Town	4:1

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