Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday


	Pen-y-Bont		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.8	3
	1.92	3.85	3.25
	1.88	3.65	3.57
				Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.1
	1.88	4.38	3.24	Watch
	1.92	3.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.09)	3.87 ↓ (3.93)	3.2 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pen-y-Bont
47.9%

Draw
23.6%

Merthyr Town
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

22.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pen-y-Bont's performance.

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Pen y Bont - Merthyr Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Merthyr will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pen-y-Bont will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Pen-y-Bont may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pen-y-Bont won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Including home match between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Merthyr Town - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 36.24%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pen-y-Bont FC
Club Friendly
28.06.25	Airdrieonians - Pen-y-Bont	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Pen-y-Bont - Afan Lido	7:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
19.04.25	Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLWW
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
26.04.25	Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town	4:0 ✺
21.04.25	Merthyr Town - Hungerford Town	3:0 ✺
18.04.25	Sholing - Merthyr Town	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Merthyr Town - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Hanwell Town - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.17	Pen-y-Bont - Merthyr Town	0:3

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