Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 11

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium (Tafresh)


	Mes Rafsanjan		Sepahan

	1	X	2
	5.5	3	1.72
	5.73	3.07	1.74
	6.58	3.10	1.68	Watch
	5.31	2.97	1.74	Watch
	6	2.9	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.82 ↑ (5)	3.01 ↓ (3.4)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
15.8%

Draw
30.5%

Sepahan
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

26.3%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

25.3%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Rafsanjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sepahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sepahan will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sepahan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sepahan (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sepahan (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Mirzazad N. (G) 21. Jahanbakhsh D. 2. Sedghi A. 27. Kurdic N. 5. Nasiri M. 50. Heydarieh V. 22. Matheus Costa . Arab F. 20. Naghizadeh A. 11. Sharifi M. 26. Ramezani A.	21. Hosseini H. (G) 66. Khanonov V. 2. Mohammadi H. 58. Daneshgar M. 28. Hajsafi E. 88. Rezavand A. 6. Haji Eidi A. 23. Sanchez I. 10. Alves R. 79. Lotfi M. 22. Crivelli E.
Substitutes
66. Afkham A. 34. Fakhreddini M. 30. Ghaffari S. 78. Jolani A. 7. Karimzadeh M. H. 86. Khatibi F. 8. Komar N. 10. Nariman S. 99. Nikmehr A. 1. Parsa P. (G) 15. Ranjbar A.	11. Aghaeipour J. 95. Amini M. 17. Askari M. 16. Bordbar M. 30. Gulciani G. 55. Hazbavi M. 12. Kamali A. 97. Khalilian A. (G) 33. Maghsoudi A. (G) 19. Noorafkan O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 0.

Recent performances by Mes Rafsanjan have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sepahan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mes Rafsanjan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sepahan is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:25. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Rafsanjan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Damash Gilan	1:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Chadormalou Ardakan	2:3 ✺
24.10.25	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLTL
- Sepahan FC
AFC Champions League 2
25.11.25	Sepahan - Al-Hussein Irbid	2:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.11.25	Mes Kerman - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
04.11.25	Sepahan - Ahal	2:2 ✺
Iran Pro League
31.10.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sepahan - Paykan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
11.04.25	Sepahan - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0
08.12.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan	0:3
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.06.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan	0:2
Iran Pro League
11.05.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan	1:1
09.12.23	Sepahan - Mes Rafsanjan	4:1
15.04.23	Sepahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0
28.10.22	Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan	0:0

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