Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday


	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman		Khalij Fars Mahshahr

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.6
	1.64	2.9	5.6
	1.67	3.01	5.72
	1.55	3.75	4.75
	1.61	3.35	5.55
	1.64	3.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.36)	3.32 ↓ (3.9)	5.27 ↓ (8.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
55.7%

Draw
27.2%

Khalij Fars Mahshahr
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

22.9%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

22.6%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman's form might have worsened.

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khalij Fars Mahshahr's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khalij Fars Mahshahr than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khalij Fars Mahshahr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	4.8%	19%

Mes Shahr e Babak Kerman - Khalij Fars Mahshahr Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mes Shahr-e Babak will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Khalij Fars Mahshahr will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mes Shahr-e Babak: 58% – 94.4%.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Mes Shahr-e Babak is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Khalij Fars Mahshahr is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mes Shahr-e Babak is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mes Shahr-e Babak to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
12.11.22	Khoosheh Talai - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Chadormalou Ardakan	2:0 ✺
31.10.22	Arman Gohar - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:3 ✺
25.10.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Chooka Talesh	2:1 ✺
18.10.22	Omid Vahdat Khorasan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	Mes Shahr Babak awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWW?
- Khalij Fars Mahshahr
Iran Division 1
12.11.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	SaiPa - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:1 ✺
31.10.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	0:1 ✺
25.10.22	Fajr Sepasi - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:0 ✺
11.10.22	Darya Babol - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLL

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