Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 29

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: 26 May Stadium (Tsqaltubo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kunchulia B. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	14:30	Sport TV


	Samgurali Tskhaltubo		Meshakhte Tkibuli

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.55	3.65	4.8	Watch
	1.58	3.81	5.2
	1.59	3.9	4.96	Watch
	1.55	3.7	4.95
	1.51	3.9	5.28	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	3.79 ↓ (4.04)	4.98 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
58%

Draw
23.9%

Meshakhte Tkibuli
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.6%

22.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.8%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Meshakhte Tkibuli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meshakhte Tkibuli than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Meshakhte Tkibuli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Siukaev A. (G) 13. Gegetchkori L. (C) 25. Shatirishvili M. 4. Patarkatsishvili O. 27. Shergelashvili L. 10. Gilmore L. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 20. Vinicius Vianna 8. Bidzinashvili I. 15. Gean Rodrigues 19. Siradze I.	29. Shovnadze L. (C) 23. Shubitidze B. 31. Eric Pimentel 38. Zotko I. 40. Ugrekhelidze L. 27. Kantaria G. 7. Jijavadze E. 26. Gabiskiria B. 30. Pyrogov M. 11. Kvirkvia M. 10. Gogolashvili G.
Substitutes
28. Claudio Cebolinha 22. Gogia G. 26. Iashvili Z. 33. Isac Martins 12. Kasradze A. (G) 11. Krasovski D. 39. Ryan 17. Tsetskhladze N.	24. Chkhetiani S. 19. Dgebuadze I. 16. Gegia G. 20. Kurdadze L. 25. Novruzov R. 6. Papuashvili G. 18. Patsatsia T. 22. Sikalo T. 1. Tkeshelashvili L. (G)
Coaches
Oniani G.	Chkhetiani K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Siradze I. ⚽,
35', Zotko I. 🟨,
35', Vinicius Vianna 🟨,
44', Patarkatsishvili O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pyrogov M. ↓, Patsatsia T. ↑,
56', Ugrekhelidze L. 🟨,
57', Ugrekhelidze L. 🟥,
65', Siradze I. ↓, Tsetskhladze N. ↑,
65', Bidzinashvili I. ↓, Claudio Cebolinha ↑,
67', Gean Rodrigues 🟨,
70', Gogolashvili G. ↓, Chkhetiani S. ↑,
70', Shubitidze B. ↓, Dgebuadze I. ↑,
70', Kvirkvia M. ↓, Gegia G. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Claudio Cebolinha ⚽,
81', Jijavadze E. ↓, Sikalo T. ↑,
81', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Krasovski D. ↑,
81', Gegetchkori L. ↓, Gogia G. ↑,
82', Gilmore L. ↓, Ryan ↑,

Preview

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

In this matchup, Samgurali is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 1.3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Samgurali against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Samgurali	30	11	5	14	43:55	-12	38
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	30	3	11	16	23:49	-26	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.10.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
14.09.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	3:2 ✺
09.09.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Iberia 1999 - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL
- Meshakhte Tkibuli
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.10.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Iberia 1999	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Gagra - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Rustavi	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Spaeri	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Cup
01.08.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:0 AET
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
06.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Meshakhte Tkibuli	3:1
08.03.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:0

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Meshakhte Tkibuli