Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 29

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena (Tbilisi)

Referee: Kherkhadze I. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV


	Dinamo Tbilisi		Spaeri

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.20	5.50
	1.50	3.90	5.00	Watch
	1.45	4.69	6.38
	1.6	3.97	4.79	Watch
	1.39	4.60	6.30
	1.44	4.59	6.36	Watch
	1.45	4.30	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.68)	4.32 ↑ (3.65)	5.7 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Tbilisi
62.6%

Draw
21.3%

Spaeri
16.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Tbilisi's performance.

Spaeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spaeri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Tbilisi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Dinamo Tbilisi - Spaeri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Flores L. (G) 6. Leo Santos 27. Kurdic N. 4. Ugrekhelidze N. 13. Pourzitidis M. 23. Kankava J. 8. Welton 10. Kharaishvili G. 22. Ninua N. (C) 14. Do Couto M. 7. Doltmurziev K.	1. Putkaradze B. (C) 22. Chagunava N. 3. Kachibaia L. 2. Pirtakhia G. 14. Samkharadze G. 5. Tsalughelashvili T. 6. Askurava T. 7. Gegiadze S. 10. Tsetskhladze T. 19. Tsirdava G. 17. Kokhreidze L.
Substitutes
12. Bah A. 34. Gbomadu M. 33. Houri L. 3. Kalandadze A. 18. Kvaratskhelia T. 24. Osei B. 17. Psaltis P. 42. Tartarashvili S. (G) 11. Vatsadze M.	30. Basilashvili Z. 23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 24. Golubiani Z. 25. Injgia R. 26. Jibril B. 20. Kentchadze N. 8. Maisuradze S. 13. Mathenjwa S. 9. Tsetskhladze G.
Coaches
Ketsbaia T.	Kighuradze A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Ninua N. ⚽, Pourzitidis M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Tsalughelashvili T. ↓, Golubiani Z. ↑,
57', Doltmurziev K. ↓, Vatsadze M. ↑,
57', Do Couto M. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Golubiani Z. ⚽, Askurava T. (A),
65', Kharaishvili G. ↓, Kvaratskhelia T. ↑,
65', Leo Santos ↓, Psaltis P. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Pourzitidis M. ⚽, Welton (A),
72', Kankava J. ↓, Osei B. ↑,
74', Putkaradze B. ↓, Chomakhidze N. ↑,
74', Gegiadze S. ↓, Jibril B. ↑,
74', Chagunava N. ↓, Mathenjwa S. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Vatsadze M. ⚽,
81', Kokhreidze L. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
90+1', Ninua N. 🟨,

Preview

Dinamo Tbilisi has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Spaeri is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Dinamo Tbilisi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Dinamo Tbilisi is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dinamo Tbilisi against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dinamo Tbilisi	29	14	9	6	48:32	16	51
9	Spaeri	29	5	11	13	38:49	-11	26

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo Tbilisi - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 53.81%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.10.26	Dinamo Batumi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Iberia 1999 - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
14.09.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	4:0 ✺
10.09.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWT
- Spaeri FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.10.26	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	3:3 ✺
21.09.26	Spaeri - Dila Gori	1:4 ✺
13.09.26	Iberia 1999 - Spaeri	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Spaeri - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Spaeri	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
07.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Spaeri	2:1
07.03.26	Spaeri - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2
Georgian Cup
05.12.24	Spaeri - Dinamo Tbilisi	3:2 penalties

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