Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 11

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Ramaz Shengelia (Kutaisi)


	Torpedo Kutaisi		Rustavi

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.45	3.7	Watch
	1.83	3.7	4.23
	1.96	3.24	3.73	Watch
	1.75	3.3	3.8
	1.83	3.91	3.76	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.57)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	4.09 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Kutaisi
51.4%

Draw
26.2%

Rustavi
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

24.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torpedo Kutaisi's form might have worsened.

Rustavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rustavi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Torpedo Kutaisi - Rustavi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo Kutaisi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Torpedo Kutaisi will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kljajic F. (G) 2. Warley 16. Mane S. 4. Simic M. 26. Basiladze A. 11. Arabidze G. 7. Mamuchashvili V. 8. Itrak M. 14. Felipe Pires 9. Andric K. 35. Deisadze D.	21. Beruashvili P. (G) 27. Kapanadze M. 24. Iakobidze I. 3. Patsatsia V. (C) 19. Chikovani N. 5. Ceijas K. 6. Pami M. 40. Ubilava D. 7. Jackson Kenio 11. Kessi S. 9. Jean
Substitutes
17. Bliznichenko V. 22. Bukia D. 6. Cherif M. 1. Goshadze O. (G) 10. Kokhreidze G. 15. Kuprava L. 5. Nadaraia T. 19. Pertaia D. 18. Zita K.	30. Chkheidze G. 4. David Oliveira 13. Gujabidze A. 18. Japaridze N. 17. Jibril B. 23. Kutateladze A. 14. Kutateladze N. 22. Nakano Y. 35. Roland J. (G)
Coaches
Schuster D.	Tsetsadze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Warley 🟥,
36', Mane S. 🟨,
37', Deisadze D. ↓, Cherif M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Felipe Pires ↓, Nadaraia T. ↑,
46', Mane S. ↓, Bukia D. ↑,
60', Pami M. ↓, Gujabidze A. ↑,
60', Ceijas K. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
67', Iakobidze I. 🟨,
73', Kessi S. ↓, Jibril B. ↑,
73', Jean ↓, Kutateladze N. ↑,
78', Basiladze A. ↓, Zita K. ↑,
83', Arabidze G. ↓, Kokhreidze G. ↑,
87', Ubilava D. ↓, Kutateladze A. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Kutateladze N. ⚽, Nakano Y. (A),
90+2', 1 - 1, Andric K. ⚽, Kokhreidze G. (A),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Kutaisi won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Torpedo Kutaisi is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Kutaisi won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo Kutaisi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Rustavi	27	13	7	7	32:23	9	46
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	27	9	9	9	43:34	9	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.05.26	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:3 ✺
21.04.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	6:1 ✺
17.04.26	Gagra - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWTT
- FC Rustavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.05.26	Rustavi - Dila Gori	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Rustavi - Iberia 1999	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Rustavi	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Spaeri - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dila Gori - Rustavi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
07.03.26	Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:0
Georgian Cup
12.10.22	Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:4
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
27.10.19	Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:0
Georgian Cup
25.09.19	Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 penalties
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.08.19	Torpedo Kutaisi - Rustavi	0:1
20.05.19	Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:4
31.03.19	Torpedo Kutaisi - Rustavi	2:0

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