Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Adriese		Obermais

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.2	3.5
	2.02	3.21	3.34
	1.92	3.41	3.57	Watch
	1.91	3	3.6
	1.87	3.3	3.8
	1.94	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	3.57 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adriese
46.8%

Draw
28%

Obermais
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adriese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Obermais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adriese than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obermais than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Adriese - Obermais Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Adriese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Obermais's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Adriese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Adriese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	FC Obermais	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Adriese
Italian Serie D - Group C
18.01.26	Treviso - Adriese	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Adriese - Legnago Salus	1:5 ✺
04.01.26	Luparense - Adriese	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Brian Lignano - Adriese	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Adriese - Union Clodiense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- FC Obermais
Italian Serie D - Group C
18.01.26	Obermais - Vigasio	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Mestre - Obermais	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Obermais - Este	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Obermais - San Luigi	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Conegliano - Obermais	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
24.09.25	Obermais - Adriese	1:0

Adriese - Obermais: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide