Match Info

Date: 2 November 2021, Tuesday


	Metalac		Napredak Kruševac

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.07	3.05	3.05
	2.26	3.1	2.95
	2.37	3.34	2.91
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.31	3.28	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.04)	3.2 ↓ (3.66)	2.91 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalac
40.4%

Draw
28.4%

Napredak Kruševac
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

17.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalac's form might have worsened.

Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalac than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napredak Kruševac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metalac - Napredak Kruševac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group)).

Metalac is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Napredak is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Metalac will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Metalac won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalac won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalac Gornji Milanovac
Serbian Superliga
28.10.21	Partizan - Metalac	3:1 ✺
23.10.21	Spartak Subotica - Metalac	2:0 ✺
18.10.21	Metalac - Mladost Lučani	0:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
14.10.21	Metalac - Žarkovo	3:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
03.10.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Metalac	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Cup
27.10.21	Železničar Pančevo - Napredak Kruševac	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
21.10.21	Napredak Kruševac - Novi Pazar	1:1 ✺
15.10.21	Voždovac - Napredak Kruševac	0:0 ✺
03.10.21	Napredak Kruševac - Partizan	0:1 ✺
27.09.21	Proleter Novi Sad - Napredak Kruševac	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
19.03.21	Metalac - Napredak Kruševac	2:2
27.09.20	Napredak Kruševac - Metalac	1:2
Serbian Cup
17.10.18	Napredak Kruševac - Metalac	2:0
Serbian Superliga
30.11.16	Napredak Kruševac - Metalac	1:0
06.08.16	Metalac - Napredak Kruševac	2:0
03.06.15	Napredak Kruševac - Metalac	1:1
30.05.15	Metalac - Napredak Kruševac	3:1

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