Match Info

Date: 14 October 2021, Thursday


	Metalac		Žarkovo

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.25
	1.35	4.6	6.6
	1.32	4.91	6.63
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.3	5.2	7.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.78)	4.65 ↑ (3.2)	6.78 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalac
67.1%

Draw
19.5%

Žarkovo
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

28.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

18.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metalac's performance.

Žarkovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Žarkovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalac than the current prediction. (-34.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žarkovo than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Žarkovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	10.3%	3.4%

Metalac - Žarkovo Predictions

Users Predictions: Metalac will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Žarkovo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Metalac is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metalac won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalac won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalac Gornji Milanovac
Serbian Superliga
03.10.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Metalac	3:1 ✺
30.09.21	Radnički Niš - Metalac	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Metalac - Radnički 1923	4:1 ✺
17.09.21	Metalac - Kolubara	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Vojvodina - Metalac	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWT
- FC Žarkovo
Serbian Prva Liga
10.10.21	Žarkovo - Timok	2:1 ✺
06.10.21	Zlatibor Čajetina - Žarkovo	0:5 ✺
02.10.21	Žarkovo - Bačka	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Grafičar Beograd - Žarkovo	3:0 ✺
22.09.21	Žarkovo - Mačva Šabac	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
07.03.20	Žarkovo - Metalac	1:3
21.09.19	Metalac - Žarkovo	2:0
21.11.18	Žarkovo - Metalac	1:2
25.08.18	Metalac - Žarkovo	0:0
Serbian Cup
21.09.16	Žarkovo - Metalac	3:2 penalties

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