Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Metalac		Radnik Surdulica

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.3
	1.97	3.25	3.1
	2.04	3.1	3.45
	2.05	3.33	3.63
	2.05	3	3.5
	1.98	3.25	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)	3.2 (3.2)	3.44 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalac
45.2%

Draw
28.4%

Radnik Surdulica
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

19.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Radnik Surdulica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalac than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnik Surdulica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metalac - Radnik Surdulica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group)).

Metalac is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Radnik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metalac could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Metalac will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Metalac won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalac won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalac Gornji Milanovac
Serbian Superliga
02.11.21	Metalac - Napredak Kruševac	2:3 ✺
28.10.21	Partizan - Metalac	3:1 ✺
23.10.21	Spartak Subotica - Metalac	2:0 ✺
18.10.21	Metalac - Mladost Lučani	0:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
14.10.21	Metalac - Žarkovo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
01.11.21	Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica	1:1 ✺
27.10.21	Radnik Surdulica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
22.10.21	Radnik Surdulica - Voždovac	1:3 ✺
17.10.21	Partizan - Radnik Surdulica	2:0 ✺
Serbian Cup
13.10.21	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički 1923	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
19.07.21	Radnik Surdulica - Metalac	0:0
12.04.21	Radnik Surdulica - Metalac	1:2
26.10.20	Metalac - Radnik Surdulica	1:1
13.05.17	Metalac - Radnik Surdulica	1:1
01.03.17	Metalac - Radnik Surdulica	3:1
26.08.16	Radnik Surdulica - Metalac	0:1
06.03.16	Radnik Surdulica - Metalac	0:0

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