Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Kosicka futbalova arena (Košice)

Referee: Jovic F. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Dnipro-1		Vaduz

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	5.25
	1.65	3.9	4.8
	1.67	4	5
	1.6	4	5
	1.64	4.14	5.43
	1.63	3.92	4.95
	1.67	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.82)	3.98 ↑ (3.64)	5.12 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnipro-1
57.7%

Draw
23.8%

Vaduz
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dnipro-1's performance.

Vaduz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	3%	4.5%

Dnipro 1 - Vaduz Predictions

Users Predictions: Dnipro-1 will win (247 of 267 users predict this - 92.51%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.35% – 95.67%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Neutral location.

Dnipro-1 has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (17%), has a good chance of 2nd (69%), has a small chance of 3rd (11%), has a good chance of round of 16 (52%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Vaduz has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (4%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 37, importance 64, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Dnipro-1 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vaduz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Dnipro-1 is a favorite.

There will not play in Dnipro-1: Luchkevych V. (Injury) Purita E. (Injury)

There will not play in Vaduz: Buchel B. (Red Card) Rahimi F. (Knee Injury) Wieser S. (Ankle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Dnipro-1 to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
01.10.22	Lviv - Dnipro-1	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Apollon Limassol - Dnipro-1	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
11.09.22	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Dnipro-1 - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
03.09.22	Dnipro-1 - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLW
- FC Vaduz
Swiss Challenge League
02.10.22	Vaduz - Lausanne Ouchy	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	AZ Alkmaar - Vaduz	4:1 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
11.09.22	Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Vaduz - Apollon Limassol	0:0 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
04.09.22	Vaduz - Schaffhausen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTTT

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