Match Info

UZBEKISTAN: Super League - Round 13

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Metallurg Stadium (Bekabad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Uzsport TV


	Metallurg Bekabad		Nasaf Qarshi

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.3	1.68
	5	3.3	1.68
	5.12	3.39	1.75
	5.12	3.39	1.74
	4.75	3.3	1.62
	5.06	3.45	1.72
	4.9	3.4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↓ (5.5)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	1.7 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Bekabad
18.6%

Draw
27.3%

Nasaf Qarshi
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

25.5%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24.7%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Bekabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Bekabad than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nasaf Qarshi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Metallurg Bekabad - Nasaf Qarshi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Metallurg Bekabad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nasaf will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Davronov R. (G) 7. Abduraymov S. 22. Gafurbekov S. 33. Josovic I. 88. Kuziyev S. 31. Milickovic M. 15. Otakhonov A. 4. Palic K. 14. Toshkuziev A. 10. Ubaydullaev S. 5. Yazdandoost R.	35. Nematov A. (G) 10. Abdikholikov B. 8. Abdurahmatov Z. 5. Gaybullaev G. 22. Golban I. 70. Jigauri J. 27. Kenzhaboev I. 28. Mukhammadiev S. 34. Nasrullaev S. 9. Sidikov J. 88. Stanojevic M.
Substitutes
24. Ergashev D. 19. Ismoilov E. 77. Khayrullayev A. 25. Nematzhonov S. 87. Ortikov A. (G) 11. Sharipov D. 8. Shaykulov I. 20. Sulaymonov M. 21. Tursunqulov H.	44. Akramov S. 30. Chogadze T. 1. Ergashev U. (G) 7. Mozgovoy A. 14. Mukhiddinov S. 21. Narzullaev D. 25. Rahmatov B. 6. Rakhmatov M. 91. Safoev Z. (G)
Coaches
Stesevic V.	Berdiev R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Chogadze T. ↑,
62', Stanojevic M. ↓, Mukhiddinov S. ↑,
62', Abdurahmatov Z. ↓, Rakhmatov M. ↑,
75', Abduraymov S. ↓, Shaykulov I. ↑,
82', Jigauri J. ↓, Narzullaev D. ↑,
82', Kenzhaboev I. ↓, Akramov S. ↑,
83', Yazdandoost R. ↓, Ergashev D. ↑,
83', Ubaydullaev S. ↓, Sharipov D. ↑,
90+5', Milickovic M. ↓, Tursunqulov H. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metallurg Bekabad won 0.

Metallurg Bekabad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nasaf is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Nasaf is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Metallurg Bekabad won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 14-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Metallurg Bekabad won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbek League
19.06.24	Surkhon Termez - Metallurg Bekabad	2:1 ✺
14.06.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Bunyodkor	0:0 ✺
31.05.24	AGMK - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0 ✺
24.05.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Navbahor Namangan	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Andijan - Metallurg Bekabad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTLTT
- Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League
20.06.24	Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Nasaf Qarshi - Lokomotiv Tashkent	3:0 ✺
Uzbek Super Cup
29.05.24	Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi	1:2 penalties ✺
Uzbek League
25.05.24	Nasaf Qarshi - Dinamo Samarqand	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
27.10.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Metallurg Bekabad	2:0
15.05.23	Metallurg Bekabad - Nasaf Qarshi	1:2
12.08.22	Metallurg Bekabad - Nasaf Qarshi	0:2
09.03.22	Nasaf Qarshi - Metallurg Bekabad	1:1
15.10.21	Nasaf Qarshi - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0
Uzbek Cup
19.08.21	Nasaf Qarshi - Metallurg Bekabad	5:2
Uzbek League
23.06.21	Metallurg Bekabad - Nasaf Qarshi	2:1

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