Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 16

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)


	Ufa		Metallurg Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.15	7
	1.37	4.15	7.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	4.15 ↑ (4.05)	7.48 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
66.2%

Draw
21.8%

Metallurg Lipetsk
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

22.5%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

20.8%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baklov O. (C) 88. Ageyan M. 13. Grigorjev D. 18. Gurenko A. 10. Gystarov R. 62. Karpov V. 77. Minaev R. 97. Pasevich R. 7. Perchenok A. 22. Shavaev A. 45. Tenyaev A.	16. Kobzev A. (C) 11. Borisenko G. 2. Eleev M. 15. Grechkin A. 10. Grigorjev M. 5. Krikunenko A. 42. Lapshov I. 87. Maksimchuk A. 7. Semin D. 23. Tyumentsev D. 20. Voydel R.
Substitutes
40. Chernov A. (G) 8. Isaev S. 37. Kapustyanskiy D. 69. Khalilov H. 9. Khleborodov I. 5. Kutin D. 48. Lukyanov A. 90. Lyakh A. 11. Molteninov I. 17. Nasibov M.	19. Glebov I. 27. Korotkikh I. 17. Mosiyan S. 18. Sazonov I. 14. Smirnykh N. 6. Velikorodnyi D. 74. Yavorski N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gystarov R. ⚽,
18', Gurenko A. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Gurenko A. ⚽,
30', Grechkin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, Gystarov R. ⚽,
59', 4 - 0, Ageyan M. ⚽,
62', Tyumentsev D. ↓, Velikorodnyi D. ↑,
62', Semin D. ↓, Glebov I. ↑,
70', Ageyan M. ↓, Molteninov I. ↑,
70', Karpov V. ↓, Khalilov H. ↑,
74', Maksimchuk A. ↓, Korotkikh I. ↑,
75', Lapshov I. ↓, Sazonov I. ↑,
83', 5 - 0, Molteninov I. ⚽,
83', Gystarov R. ↓, Isaev S. ↑,
83', Grigorjev D. ↓, Khleborodov I. ↑,
84', Grigorjev M. ↓, Mosiyan S. ↑,
84', Shavaev A. ↓, Lukyanov A. ↑,
90+1', 6 - 0, Isaev S. ⚽,
90+2', Pasevich R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

Recent matches Ufa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Metallurg Lipetsk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ufa is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ufa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
28.04.24	Ufa - Novosibirsk	2:1 ✺
24.04.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ufa - Krasnodar 2	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ufa	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ufa - Chelyabinsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW
- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
28.04.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Metallurg Lipetsk	5:1 ✺
24.04.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Chelyabinsk	2:2 ✺
17.04.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Krasnodar 2	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ufa	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Novosibirsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
14.04.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ufa	1:0

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