Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Lipetsk)


	Metallurg Lipetsk		Znamya Truda

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.24	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.4)	3.24 (3.24)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Lipetsk
35.4%

Draw
27.8%

Znamya Truda
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Lipetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Znamya Truda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znamya Truda than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kobzev A. (G) 13. Ageev M. 76. Ananyev E. 22. Bushuev D. 80. Dontsov K. 31. Gaiduk S. 17. Glukhov E. 4. Gorunkov N. 28. Kononenko N. 87. Roshchin A. 67. Tkachuk R.	15. Terekhov D. (G) 33. Agalakov V. 32. Chernobay D. 11. Dvoretskov F. 29. Ignatovich E. 21. Kaykov D. 7. Kukushkin A. 14. Peshcherov D. 77. Ponomarev S. 88. Savin D. 75. Zhamaletdinov T.
Substitutes
15. Elizarov M. 91. Kashmin D. 11. Panov N. 74. Yavorskiy N. (G)	97. Bosenkov N. 99. Egorov D. 71. Fattakhov A. (G) 5. Lebedev N. 10. Morev E. 24. Popov K. 8. Sabusov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Zhamaletdinov T. 🟨,
11', Ponomarev S. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Agalakov V. ⚽,
45+1', Gorunkov N. ↓, Kashmin D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Roshchin A. ↓, Elizarov M. ↑,
65', Glukhov E. 🟨,
67', Elizarov M. 🟨,
72', Peshcherov D. ↓, Popov K. ↑,
77', Savin D. ↓, Morev E. ↑,
77', Chernobay D. ↓, Bosenkov N. ↑,
83', Kukushkin A. ↓, Sabusov D. ↑,
86', Kashmin D. ↓, Panov N. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).

Metallurg Lipetsk is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Znamya Truda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Metallurg Lipetsk has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
28.06.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Spartak Tambov	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Oryol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWTW
- Znamya Truda Orekhovo-Zuyevo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
28.06.25	Znamya Truda - Rotor 2	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Zenit Penza - Znamya Truda	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Znamya Truda - Salyut Belgorod	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Znamya Truda - Strogino Moskva	2:3 ✺
31.05.25	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Znamya Truda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW

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