Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Rodina (Khimki)


	Rodina Moscow 3		Metallurg Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	2.74	3.24	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.53 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 3
34.1%

Draw
28.9%

Metallurg Lipetsk
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Metallurg Lipetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tarasov R. (G) 70. Atamanskiy I. 4. Baranov P. 11. Belkovskiy M. 62. Berzegov R. 93. Evstratov A. 23. Gaziev A. 3. Kolobov E. 17. Pastushkov V. 71. Postnikov N. 7. Trapitsyn N.	16. Kobzev A. (G) 13. Ageev M. 76. Ananyev E. 80. Dontsov K. 14. Gordienko V. 91. Kashmin D. 28. Kononenko N. 27. Korotkikh I. 8. Pakhomov D. 87. Roshchin A. 67. Tkachuk R.
Substitutes
21. Belokhonov A. 18. Borisov D. 98. Bykov N. (G) 8. Glotov A. 44. Gridin G. 81. Sary S. 90. Sharapov T.	22. Bushuev D. 15. Elizarov M. 31. Gayduk S. 11. Panov N. 74. Yavorskiy N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Kononenko N. ⚽,
29', 🟨,
30', Gaziev A. 🟨,
45+1', Postnikov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Pastushkov V. ↓, Belokhonov A. ↑,
73', Roshchin A. ↓, Gayduk S. ↑,
73', Ageev M. ↓, Bushuev D. ↑,
77', Kobzev A. 🟨,
79', Kobzev A. ↓, Yavorskiy N. ↑,
86', Kashmin D. ↓, Panov N. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Bushuev D. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

Rodina M has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metallurg Lipetsk is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
07.06.25	Rotor 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zenit Penza	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Salyut Belgorod - Rodina Moscow 3	4:2 ✺
17.05.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Znamya Truda	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLLW
- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
07.06.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Oryol	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:3 ✺
10.05.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWW

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