The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rodina Moscow 3 33.1%
Draw 28%
Metallurg Lipetsk 38.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.1%
28.5%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
28.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Rodina Moscow 3 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Rodina Moscow 3 - Metallurg Lipetsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Grigorjev D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 2, Ivashov M. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Khudoklinov V. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 3, Kononenko N. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 5th).
In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories in strong fashion.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Rodina 3 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rodina 3 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Lipetsk
29
16
6
7
54:30
24
54
7
Rodina Moscow 3
29
14
4
11
53:45
8
46
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Lipetsk - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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