Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Lipetsk)


	Metallurg Lipetsk		Oryol

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.4	6.58
	1.4	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	4.1 ↑ (3.8)	5.54 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Lipetsk
62.8%

Draw
21.4%

Oryol
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

21.9%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

19.8%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Oryol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+1%)

Metallurg Lipetsk - Oryol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kobzev A. (G) 13. Ageev M. 76. Ananyev E. 31. Gayduk S. 17. Glukhov E. 14. Gordienko V. 28. Kononenko N. 27. Korotkikh I. 8. Pakhomov D. 87. Roshchin A. 67. Tkachuk R.	75. Zemskov P. (G) 69. Cherepanov S. 9. Gogrichiani G. 2. Khmelevskoy S. 55. Kopylov D. 6. Luzin S. 18. Maltsev L. 45. Pyatin S. 22. Stavtsev I. 7. Tarasov M. 21. Yakushin A.
Substitutes
22. Bushuev D. 15. Elizarov M. 4. Gorunkov N. 91. Kashmin D. 11. Panov N. 74. Yavorskiy N. (G)	10. Borisov G. 24. Kotov N. (G) 13. Krasov N. 99. Kuzmin D. 20. Luksha A. 8. Merkulov D. 28. Peterson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Kopylov D. 🟨,
26', 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Ageev M. (Pen),
45+2', 2 - 0, Kononenko N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maltsev L. ↓, Luksha A. ↑,
46', Luzin S. ↓, Borisov G. ↑,
62', Tarasov M. 🟨,
64', Yakushin A. ↓, Peterson S. ↑,
73', Gayduk S. 🟨,
75', Gayduk S. ↓, Elizarov M. ↑,
75', Roshchin A. ↓, Kashmin D. ↑,
80', Stavtsev I. 🟨,
82', Pakhomov D. 🟨,
84', Kopylov D. ↓, Merkulov D. ↑,
84', Tarasov M. ↓, Krasov N. ↑,
86', Pakhomov D. ↓, Gorunkov N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Metallurg Lipetsk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Oryol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Metallurg Lipetsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Metallurg Lipetsk is considered a favorite.

We predict that Metallurg Lipetsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg Lipetsk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.4:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg Lipetsk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.05.25	Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:3 ✺
10.05.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWLW
- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.05.25	Oryol - Rotor 2	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Zenit Penza - Oryol	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Oryol - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Znamya Truda - Oryol	5:0 ✺
19.04.25	Oryol - SKA Khabarovsk 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL Center
17.09.16	Oryol - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1
23.04.16	Metallurg Lipetsk - Oryol	0:0
07.09.15	Oryol - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:0
23.10.14	Metallurg Lipetsk - Oryol	1:0
25.07.14	Oryol - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:0

Metallurg Lipetsk - Oryol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide