The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zenit Penza 18.6%
Draw 21.9%
Znamya Truda 59.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.9%
22.9%
56.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
22.1%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Znamya Truda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znamya Truda than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Medvedev D. (G) 10. Aftaev D. 4. Chernenko S. 17. Egorov E. 20. Kleyner D. 2. Kleyner M. 7. Konoplev D. 29. Korolev D. 77. Makarov P. 23. Makushkin A. 31. Pustovitenko Y.
15. Terekhov D. (G) 33. Agalakov V. 32. Chernobay D. 11. Dvoretskov F. 29. Ignatovich E. 21. Kaykov D. 7. Kukushkin A. 14. Peshcherov D. 77. Ponomarev S. 88. Savin D. 75. Zhamaletdinov T.
Substitutes
6. Barseghyan S. 8. Datsenko A. A. 58. Degtev S. (G) 15. Feshchenko V. 27. Kolesin N. 74. Novichkov V. 11. Popov G. 18. Prozorov V. 19. Sayfutdinov M. 22. Shcherbakov D. 69. Terechev Y. 1. Zaynullin T. (G)
97. Bosenkov N. 71. Fattakhov A. (G) 17. Ionov A. 5. Lebedev N. 10. Morev E. 24. Popov K. 8. Sabusov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Zhamaletdinov T. ⚽,
30', Makushkin A. 🟥,
35', Pustovitenko Y. ↓, Terechev Y. ↑,
41', Makarov P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Savin D. ↓, Popov K. ↑,
62', Kukushkin A. ↓, Morev E. ↑,
64', Aftaev D. ↓, Popov G. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Bosenkov N. ⚽,
76', Popov K. ↓, Sabusov D. ↑,
76', Konoplev D. ↓, Sayfutdinov M. ↑,
84', Dvoretskov F. ↓, Lebedev N. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5).
Recent form of Zenit Penza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Znamya Truda is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Znamya Truda is seen as the favorite.