Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 8

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Location: Yuvileiny Stadium (Sumy)


	Viktoriya Sumy		Nyva Ternopil

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.10
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.75	3.3	4.22
	2.09	3.05	3.58	Watch
	1.59	3.69	5.93
	1.8	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	3.26 ↓ (3.31)	4.13 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoriya Sumy
49.3%

Draw
28.3%

Nyva Ternopil
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26.6%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoriya Sumy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Nyva Ternopil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Viktoriya Sumy - Nyva Ternopil Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Viktoriya will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kucheruk V. (G) 9. Chernov O. 17. Dedyaev A. 8. Dobrokhotov Y. 6. Khamelyuk V. 70. Lyegostayev A. 4. Melnyk D. 16. Novotryasov A. 25. Sharay S. 22. Shpyryonok A. 33. Ulyanov D. (C)	1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 45. Boryachuk A. 28. Gabelok A. 74. Kvas K. 11. Mykhalchuk M. 33. Mysyk M. (C) 38. Paruta D. 17. Pezhynskyi M. 91. Rezepov D. 75. Snurnitsyn I. 99. Vyshynskyi B.
Substitutes
18. Dedukh R. 27. Dolinskyi D. 7. Hryshchenko D. 45. Ilchuk I. 20. Kharchenko M. 15. Kirichenko D. 11. Lebedenko O. 32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 29. Ryabyi A. 28. Ryabyi D. 5. Vasyliev O. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)	26. Bakus M. (G) 19. Bugaj V. 35. Demyanchuk A. 70. Dudik A. 30. Galas T. 77. Kasarda N. 53. Pokas D. 22. Ugrynyuk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Pezhynskyi M. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Boryachuk A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shpyryonok A. ↓, Hryshchenko D. ↑,
46', Dedyaev A. ↓, Ryabyi D. ↑,
46', Sharay S. ↓, Kirichenko D. ↑,
56', Dobrokhotov Y. ↓, Dedukh R. ↑,
68', Mysyk M. ↓, Kasarda N. ↑,
69', Chernov O. ↓, Kharchenko M. ↑,
74', Kvas K. ↓, Galas T. ↑,
74', Boryachuk A. ↓, Bugaj V. ↑,
83', Hryshchenko D. 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Hryshchenko D. ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, Pezhynskyi M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Premier League and 13th).

Viktoriya has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nyva T has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nyva T could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Viktoriya for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Viktoriya has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Viktoriya against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Viktoria	12	7	3	2	16:9	7	24
10	Nyva Ternopil	12	3	6	3	12:10	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoriya Sumy - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.82%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
14.09.26	Oleksandriya - Viktoriya Sumy	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Viktoriya Sumy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTWW
- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.26	Nyva Ternopil - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Nyva Ternopil - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.26	Inhulets - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.04.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Nyva Ternopil	1:0
13.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Viktoriya Sumy	2:1
30.05.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Nyva Ternopil	3:0
27.04.25	Nyva Ternopil - Viktoriya Sumy	0:0

Viktoriya Sumy - Nyva Ternopil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide