The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metropolitano 15.6%
Draw 27.1%
Avaí 57.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.4%
22.3%
64.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
11.9%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avaí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metropolitano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-23%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Metropolitano - Avaí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation to Campeonato Catarinense (Relegation to Play Offs) and 8 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Catarinense (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Metropolitano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Avaí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Metropolitano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Avaí have a series of guest games.
In this match Avaí is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Metropolitano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.