The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metta 23.5%
Draw 24.4%
Auda Riga 52.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
25.3%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
25.2%
45.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metta's form might have worsened.
Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auda Riga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auda Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Metta - Auda Riga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Plavins K. (G) 2. Scremin G. 4. Vilnis K. (C) 8. Kamara M. 5. Minkevics I. 19. Molotkovs A. 29. Bangura A. 27. Cesnieks K. 15. Cinajevs D. 10. Klavinskis R. 9. Saleh S.
29. Aleksandrovs N. (G) 2. Hrvoj T. 21. Melniks D. 13. Paulo Eduardo 22. Ogunji A. 6. Kragliks R. 8. Nguena K. 79. Kone I. 17. Daskevics E. (C) 11. Jackson Kenio 9. Monteiro E.
Substitutes
18. Evelons E. 13. Gulbis H. 30. Kamara S. 3. Lauan 21. Rekis K. 14. Smilskalns G. 1. Sorokins A. (G)
88. Bite K. (G) 77. Camara O. 7. Clemente M. 93. Coulibaly A. 5. Diawara B. 46. Gerold J. 99. Jeudi S. 33. Novikovs J. 71. Rubenis O.
Coaches
Riherts A.
Konevs M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Melniks D. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Molotkovs A. ⚽,
29', Molotkovs A. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Daskevics E. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Cinajevs D. ⚽,
54', Kragliks R. ↓, Clemente M. ↑,
63', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
65', Jackson Kenio ↓, Gerold J. ↑,
65', Monteiro E. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
66', Klavinskis R. ↓, Rekis K. ↑,
74', Nguena K. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Melniks D. ⚽, Daskevics E. (A),
87', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
90+1', Molotkovs A. ↓, Lauan ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Rekis K. ⚽, Kamara M. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 1.
Metta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Auda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Auda is seen as the favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Metta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 10:43. (average 0.6:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2:16. (average 0.3:2).