Match Info

Virsliga - Round 30

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Tukuma pilsētas stadions (Tukums)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV
World	Onefootball


	Tukums 2000		Metta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.55	2.92
	1.99	3.84	3.39
	1.33	4.42	10.01	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.4	Watch
	1.9	3.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.9)	3.79 ↑ (3.65)	4.63 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tukums 2000
52.9%

Draw
25.9%

Metta
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.1%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Metta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Tukums 2000 - Metta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parfjonovs N. (G) 26. Vientiess O. 8. Reingolcs R. 99. Mihoubi M. 21. Valmiers D. 11. Anmanis 33. Toba J. 18. Dusalijevs N. 10. Samoilovs B. (C) 44. Nagasawa M. 7. Pulis I.	1. Sorokins A. (G) 2. Scremin G. 17. Kangars A. 8. Kamara M. 4. Vilnis K. (C) 19. Molotkovs A. 7. Ivulans M. 27. Cesnieks K. 15. Cinajevs D. 21. Rekis K. 18. Evelons E.
Substitutes
24. Ansevics E. 20. Dzeguze R. 25. Joksts H. 2. Kholod A. 15. Kirss R. 96. Kurokawa A. 77. Minajevs K. (G) 14. Putrans D. 3. Semesko M.	29. Bangura A. 13. Gulbis H. 30. Kamara S. 10. Klavinskis R. 5. Minkevics I. 32. Plavins K. (G) 9. Saleh S. 14. Smilskalns G.
Coaches
Dislers K.	Riherts A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Rekis K. ⚽, Cinajevs D. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Kamara M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rekis K. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
46', Valmiers D. 🟨,
52', 2 - 1, Pulis I. ⚽, Dusalijevs N. (A),
62', Cesnieks K. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
62', Ivulans M. ↓, Saleh S. ↑,
66', Valmiers D. ↓, Kholod A. ↑,
66', Nagasawa M. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
68', Molotkovs A. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
69', Pulis I. 🟨,
80', Toba J. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
80', Samoilovs B. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Pulis I. (Pen),
87', Vilnis K. ↓, Minkevics I. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Kangars A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Tukums 2000 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga
14.09.25	Liepāja - Tukums 2000	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Jelgava - Tukums 2000	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Tukums 2000 - Riga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLTWL
- FK Metta
Latvian Virsliga
14.09.25	Metta - Super Nova	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Metta - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	4:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
17.08.25	RFS - Metta	3:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
09.08.25	Metta - Jelgava	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
02.07.25	Metta - Tukums 2000	0:3
11.05.25	Tukums 2000 - Metta	2:0
16.03.25	Metta - Tukums 2000	3:2
06.10.24	Tukums 2000 - Metta	0:1
22.07.24	Metta - Tukums 2000	0:0
21.05.24	Metta - Tukums 2000	1:1
08.04.24	Tukums 2000 - Metta	0:0

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