Match Info

Virsliga - Round 27

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadions Celtnieks (Daugavpils)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic


	BFC Daugavpils		Metta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.7	4.33
	1.55	3.95	4.95
	1.6	4	5.19
	1.58	3.91	5.34	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.8
	1.59	3.78	4.87	Watch
	1.64	3.78	4.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)	4.86 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFC Daugavpils
57.2%

Draw
24%

Metta
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.7%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Metta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

BFC Daugavpils - Metta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beks J. (G) 33. Cucurs D. 5. Kudelkins A. 20. Taty C. 37. Mihalcovs G. 24. Ivanovs E. (C) 21. Diakite T. 11. Kone M. 10. Fofana W. 97. Minins J. 30. Diallo B.	1. Sorokins A. (G) 17. Kangars A. 4. Vilnis K. (C) 8. Kamara M. 5. Minkevics I. 2. Scremin G. 11. Ivulans M. 15. Cinajevs D. 30. Kamara S. 21. Rekis K. 18. Evelons E.
Substitutes
6. Barkovskis N. 66. Bujanovs K. 18. Kopilovs M. 3. Kumater S. 9. Murakami S. 23. Promise V. 25. Saidy M. 58. Saveljevs J. (G) 8. Skrebels R.	29. Bangura A. 27. Cesnieks K. 10. Klavinskis R. 19. Molotkovs A. 32. Plavins K. (G) 9. Saleh S. 14. Smilskalns G.
Coaches
Kurbatov K.	Riherts A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Rekis K. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Diallo B. ⚽, Minins J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 2 - 1, Diallo B. ⚽, Cucurs D. (A),
56', 3 - 1, Kone M. ⚽, Minins J. (A),
60', Evelons E. ↓, Saleh S. ↑,
60', Rekis K. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
60', Kangars A. ↓, Smilskalns G. ↑,
69', Fofana W. ↓, Promise V. ↑,
70', Kone M. ↓, Kumater S. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Saidy M. ⚽, Minins J. (A),
76', Scremin G. ↓, Molotkovs A. ↑,
78', 4 - 2, Saleh S. ⚽,
83', Molotkovs A. 🟨,
86', Kamara M. 🟨,
89', Minins J. ↓, Kopilovs M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2.

In recent matches, Daugavpils has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Metta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Daugavpils is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:24. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 2.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
09.08.25	Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	BFC Daugavpils - Vllaznia Shkodër	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTWWL
- FK Metta
Latvian Cup
17.08.25	RFS - Metta	3:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
09.08.25	Metta - Jelgava	2:2 ✺
03.08.25	Auda Riga - Metta	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Riga - Metta	3:2 ✺
19.07.25	Metta - RFS	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
17.06.25	Metta - BFC Daugavpils	2:2
25.04.25	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	2:0
27.09.24	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	1:1
07.07.24	Metta - BFC Daugavpils	3:2
16.05.24	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	4:0
03.04.24	Metta - BFC Daugavpils	0:1
29.09.23	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	4:2

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