Match Info

Gold Cup - Round 3

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Allegiant Stadium (Paradise, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Australia	ESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	OneSoccer, TLN, TSN 2, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Saudi-arabia	Aloula, STC TV
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	Gol Play, GolStadium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Maincast
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, SiriusXM FC, Tubi TV, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	VIX App


	Mexico		Costa Rica

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.7	5
				Watch
	1.68	3.77	5.43
				Watch
	1.67	3.5	5
	1.65	3.83	5.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.56)	3.7 ↓ (4.13)	5.24 ↓ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
56.5%

Draw
25.5%

Costa Rica
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

23.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Costa Rica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Mexico - Costa Rica Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mexico will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mexico will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Malagon L. (G) Club America 2. Sanchez J. Cruz Azul 5. Vasquez J. Genoa 26. Chavez Garcia M. Tapatio 3. Montes C. Lokomotiv Moscow 14. Ruiz M. Toluca 4. Alvarez E. (C) West Ham 24. Chavez L. Dynamo Moscow 9. Jimenez R. Fulham 10. Vega A. Toluca 25. Alvarado R. Guadalajara Chivas	1. Navas K. (C) Newells Old Boys 22. Mora C. Univ. Craiova 3. Mitchell J. Feyenoord 4. Vargas J. Millonarios 15. Calvo F. Hatayspor 8. Mora J. Saprissa 20. Alcocer J. Westerlo 14. Galo O. Riga FC 10. Aguilera Zamora B. Rio Ave 9. Ugalde M. Spartak Moscow 12. Martinez A. New York City
Substitutes
23. Gallardo J. Toluca 11. Gimenez S. AC Milan 21. Huerta Valera C. S. Anderlecht 6. Lira E. Cruz Azul 7. Mora G. Club Tijuana 13. Ochoa G. (G) AFS 19. Orozco J. Cruz Azul 17. Pineda O. AEK 16. Quinones J. Al Qadisiya 12. Rangel R. (G) Guadalajara Chivas 15. Reyes I. Club America 8. Rodriguez C. Cruz Azul	16. Bran Flores A. J. Alajuelense 13. Brenes J. Saprissa 5. Faerron F. Herediano 6. Gamboa A. Alajuelense 18. Lezcano A. (G) San Carlos 26. Myrie K. Saprissa 7. Rojas A. New York Red Bulls 23. Sequeira P. (G) Casa Pia 2. van der Putten S. Alajuelense 19. Vargas K. Hearts 24. Villalobos Alfaro G. Alajuelense 21. Zamora A. Aris
Coaches
Aguirre J.	Herrera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Calvo F. 🟨,
3', Mora C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Mora J. 🟨,
57', Galo O. 🟨,
58', Montes C. 🟨,
58', Mora C. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
66', Mitchell J. ↓, Myrie K. ↑,
70', Jimenez R. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
70', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
72', Chavez L. 🟨,
75', Ruiz M. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
75', Alvarado R. ↓, Huerta Valera C. S. ↑,
84', Ugalde M. 🟨,
88', Vega A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
88', Martinez A. ↓, Vargas K. ↑,
88', Ugalde M. ↓, Faerron F. ↑,

Preview

Mexico is Qualified for Gold Cup (Play Offs )

Costa Rica is Qualified for Gold Cup (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 4.

Costa Rica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mexico is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico
Gold Cup
18.06.25	Suriname - Mexico	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Mexico - Dominican Republic	3:2 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	Mexico - Turkey	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Mexico - Switzerland	2:4 ✺
CONCACAF Nations League
23.03.25	Mexico - Panama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW
- Costa Rica
Gold Cup
18.06.25	Costa Rica - Dominican Republic	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Costa Rica - Suriname	4:3 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Costa Rica - Trinidad & Tobago	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Bahamas - Costa Rica	0:8 ✺
Friendly
28.05.25	Catalonia - Costa Rica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Gold Cup
08.07.23	Mexico - Costa Rica	2:0
FIFA World Cup
30.01.22	Mexico - Costa Rica	0:0
05.09.21	Costa Rica - Mexico	0:1
CONCACAF Nations League
03.06.21	Mexico - Costa Rica	1:0 penalties
Friendly
30.03.21	Costa Rica - Mexico	0:1
Gold Cup
29.06.19	Mexico - Costa Rica	2:1 penalties
Friendly
11.10.18	Mexico - Costa Rica	3:2

Mexico - Costa Rica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide