Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Nations League - League A - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Canada	OneSoccer, RDS 1, RDS App, TLN, TSN 4, TSN 5, VIVA
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Dominican-republic	CDN Deportes
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport+
Guatemala	Tigo Sports
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, ViX Gratis, VIX+
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
Nicaragua	NicaSports
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, Univision
World	VIX App


	Mexico		Panama

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	7	Watch
	1.5	3.9	7
	1.5	3.75	7	Watch
	1.48	3.96	7.2	Watch
	1.5	3.83	7.17	Watch
	1.5	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)	3.85 ↑ (3.8)	7.06 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
62.5%

Draw
24.3%

Panama
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

25.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Mexico - Panama Predictions

Users Predictions: Mexico will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Malagon L. (G) Club America 2. Reyes I. Club America 3. Montes C. Lokomotiv Moscow 5. Vasquez J. Genoa 23. Gallardo J. Toluca 22. Alvarado R. Guadalajara Chivas 4. Alvarez E. (C) West Ham 7. Romo L. Guadalajara Chivas 21. Huerta Valera C. S. Anderlecht 11. Gimenez S. AC Milan 9. Jimenez R. Fulham	22. Mosquera O. (G) Al Fayha 2. Blackman C. Slovan Bratislava 16. Harvey C. Minnesota United 5. Farina E. Khimki 3. Cordoba J. Norwich 15. Gutierrez J. Deportivo La Guaira 6. Martinez C. Shmona 8. Carrasquilla A. UNAM Pumas 20. Godoy A. (C) San Diego FC 7. Puma Juarez 18. Waterman C. Coquimbo
Substitutes
20. Alvarez E. Club Tijuana 14. Angulo J. Tigres UANL 18. Chavez L. Dynamo Moscow 19. Huescas R. FC Copenhagen 15. Juarez R. Club America 6. Lira E. Cruz Azul 13. Moreno C. (G) Pachuca 17. Pineda O. AEK 16. Quinones J. Al Qadisiya 12. Rangel R. (G) Guadalajara Chivas 8. Rodriguez C. Cruz Azul 10. Vega A. Toluca	19. Anderson I. Marathon 11. Cedeno E. Tarazona 10. Diaz I. U. Catolica 4. Escobar F. Saprissa 17. Fajardo J. U. Catolica 21. Herrera G. Puebla 13. Krug M. Levante 1. Mejia L. (G) Club Nacional 14. Morales J. Macara 9. Rodriguez T. Monagas 12. Samudio C. (G) Marathon 23. Valencia O. New York Red Bulls
Coaches
Aguirre J.	Christiansen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Jimenez R. ⚽, Alvarado R. (A),
33', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Carrasquilla A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Waterman C. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
63', Romo L. ↓, Chavez L. ↑,
64', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
75', Martinez C. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Jimenez R. (Pen),
90+3', Farina E. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
90+6', Gallardo J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
90+6', Gimenez S. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mexico won 4.

In this match Mexico is absolute favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Mexico won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25:9 (average 1.4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico
CONCACAF Nations League
20.03.25	Canada - Mexico	0:2 ✺
Friendly
21.01.25	River Plate Montevideo - Mexico	2:0 ✺
16.01.25	Internacional RS - Mexico	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF Nations League
19.11.24	Mexico - Honduras	4:0 ✺
15.11.24	Honduras - Mexico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL
- Panama
CONCACAF Nations League
20.03.25	USA - Panama	0:1 ✺
Friendly
08.02.25	Chile - Panama	6:1 ✺
24.01.25	Universitario de Deportes - Panama	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Nations League
18.11.24	Panama - Costa Rica	2:2 ✺
14.11.24	Costa Rica - Panama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
21.03.24	Panama - Mexico	0:3
Gold Cup
16.07.23	Mexico - Panama	1:0
CONCACAF Nations League
18.06.23	Panama - Mexico	0:1
FIFA World Cup
02.02.22	Mexico - Panama	1:0
08.09.21	Panama - Mexico	1:1
Friendly
30.06.21	Mexico - Panama	3:0
CONCACAF Nations League
15.11.19	Panama - Mexico	0:3

Mexico - Panama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide