The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mezzolara 21.1%
Draw 28.1%
Ravenna 50.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
30.5%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
30.1%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mezzolara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mezzolara's form might have worsened.
Ravenna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ravenna's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ravenna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Mancini S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 0 - 2, Tirelli M. ⚽,
88', 0 - 3, Sabbatani A. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 4, Campagna S. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 2.
Mezzolara is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Ravenna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ravenna will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Mezzolara won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
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