Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Međimurje Čakovec		Croatia Zmijavci

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.65	3.25	4.4
	1.62	3.75	4.4
	1.56	4.1	5.27
	1.62	3.75	4.6
	1.63	3.92	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.12)	3.71 ↑ (3.2)	4.46 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Međimurje Čakovec
55%

Draw
24.5%

Croatia Zmijavci
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.2%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

20%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Međimurje Čakovec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Međimurje Čakovec's performance.

Croatia Zmijavci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Croatia Zmijavci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Međimurje Čakovec than the current prediction. (-24.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Međimurje Čakovec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia Zmijavci than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Croatia Zmijavci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Međimurje Čakovec - Croatia Zmijavci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Recent matches Međimurje is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Croatia Zmijavci is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Međimurje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Međimurje will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Međimurje won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Međimurje won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Međimurje Čakovec
Croatian Prva NL
30.09.20	Dugopolje - Međimurje Čakovec	4:1 ✺
26.09.20	Međimurje Čakovec - Junak Sinj	4:3 ✺
20.09.20	Osijek 2 - Međimurje Čakovec	6:0 ✺
16.09.20	Međimurje Čakovec - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Orijent - Međimurje Čakovec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLTW
- Croatia Zmijavci
Croatian Prva NL
30.09.20	Croatia Zmijavci - Solin	1:3 ✺
23.09.20	Osijek 2 - Croatia Zmijavci	0:1 ✺
20.09.20	Croatia Zmijavci - Sesvete	3:1 ✺
16.09.20	Junak Sinj - Croatia Zmijavci	0:0 ✺
13.09.20	Croatia Zmijavci - Hajduk Split 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
18.10.19	Međimurje Čakovec - Croatia Zmijavci	0:0

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