Match Info

Date: 26 June 2021, Saturday


	Miami		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.65
	2.15	3.3	2.85
	2.08	3.25	3.1
	2.18	3.61	3.24
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.11	3.4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.31)	3.39 ↓ (3.55)	3.01 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
42.5%

Draw
27.1%

Charlotte Independence
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

25.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

18.5%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte Independence could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Miami - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Miami has the most likely position - 5 (22.93%), has project points - 43, has currently - 10, has a chance of playoffs (46%), has a chance of qtrs (18%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Miami is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Charlotte Independence is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Miami won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
23.06.21	Miami - Birmingham Legion	0:1 ✺
18.06.21	Charleston Battery - Miami	2:1 ✺
12.06.21	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Miami	1:1 ✺
06.06.21	Miami - Rio Grande Valley	2:4 ✺
29.05.21	Miami - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLW
- Charlotte Independence
USL Championship
23.06.21	Charlotte Independence - Charleston Battery	3:0 ✺
16.06.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Charlotte Independence	3:1 ✺
13.06.21	Charlotte Independence - Hartford Athletic	3:2 ✺
05.06.21	Charlotte Independence - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
29.05.21	Miami - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.05.21	Miami - Charlotte Independence	2:1
23.09.20	Charlotte Independence - Miami	0:0
23.08.20	Miami - Charlotte Independence	2:1

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