The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charleston Battery 64.4%
Draw 19.9%
Miami 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
18.4%
13.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.2%
17.5%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleston Battery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charleston Battery, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Charleston Battery - Miami Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Berner J. (C) 91. Houssou N. 16. Smith G. 22. Akpunonu J. 3. Messer N. 8. Ycaza E. 10. Kissiedou L. 99. Foster M. 90. Berry M. 29. Kelly J. 30. Swan C.
1. Room E. (G) 14. Rogers A. 13. Knutson D. 4. Calfo A. 8. Romero M. 16. Diaz G. 12. Ndiaye B. 21. Milesi A. 24. Milanes Navarro C. D. 10. Locadia J. 26. Rocha A.
Substitutes
4. Allan C. 7. Blackstock L. 13. Cabrera A. 12. Hughes A. 24. Kuzemka D. (G) 88. Pakhomov K. 5. Suber S.
2. Al Zubaidi H. 22. Da Costa R. 37. Mello D. 23. Musto T. 31. Rodriguez F. (G) 9. Sonora J. 7. Tunbridge M.
Coaches
Pirmann B.
Maddoni G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Foster M. ⚽, Berry M. (A),
29', Kissiedou L. 🟨,
35', Milanes Navarro C. D. 🟥,
45+3', 2 - 0, Berry M. ⚽, Kelly J. (A),
45+6', Diaz G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kissiedou L. ↓, Pakhomov K. ↑,
46', Houssou N. ↓, Suber S. ↑,
46', Rogers A. ↓, Al Zubaidi H. ↑,
46', Diaz G. ↓, Sonora J. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Berry M. ⚽, Messer N. (A),
58', Ndiaye B. ↓, Musto T. ↑,
58', Romero M. ↓, Mello D. ↑,
62', Foster M. ↓, Blackstock L. ↑,
62', 4 - 0, Smith G. ⚽,
65', Kelly J. ↓, Hughes A. ↑,
71', Locadia J. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
73', Messer N. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
84', Smith G. 🟨,
86', 5 - 0, Hughes A. ⚽, Ycaza E. (A),
88', Rocha A. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleston Battery won 3.
In recent matches, Charleston Battery has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Miami is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Charleston Battery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Charleston Battery is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Charleston Battery won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Charleston Battery won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
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Berner J. (C) 
Houssou N. 
Messer N. 
Foster M. 
Berry M. 
Room E. (G) 
Rogers A. 
Romero M. 
Diaz G. 
Ndiaye B. 
Milesi A. 
Milanes Navarro C. D. 
Rocha A. 
Pakhomov K. 
Al Zubaidi H. 
Da Costa R. 
Rodriguez F. (G) 
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