Match Info

Date: 6 June 2021, Sunday


	Miami		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.1	3	3.35
	2.05	3.15	3.25
	2.15	3.24	3.6
	2	3.25	3.5
	2.08	3.44	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.94)	3.18 ↓ (3.55)	3.36 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
44%

Draw
28.8%

Rio Grande Valley
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

25.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

17.3%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Grande Valley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Miami - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 4).

Miami has the most likely position - 4 (20.82%), has project points - 48, has currently - 9, has a good chance of playoffs (65%), has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 5 (19.37%), has project points - 43, has currently - 10, has a good chance of playoffs (52%), has a chance of qtrs (19%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Recent matches Miami is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rio Grande Valley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Miami will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
29.05.21	Miami - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
22.05.21	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami	2:1 ✺
14.05.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Miami	0:1 ✺
08.05.21	Miami - Hartford Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.05.21	Miami - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
29.05.21	San Antonio - Rio Grande Valley	1:1 ✺
22.05.21	El Paso Locomotive - Rio Grande Valley	1:0 ✺
16.05.21	Rio Grande Valley - San Antonio	2:1 ✺
06.05.21	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
01.05.21	Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLWWW

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