Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Mickleover Sports		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.87
	3.5	3.6	1.87
	3.41	3.86	1.92
	3.58	3.79	1.92
	3.42	3.54	1.91
	3.5	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.6)	3.65 ↑ (3)	1.89 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mickleover Sports
26.5%

Draw
25.1%

Guiseley
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mickleover Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mickleover Sports's form might have worsened.

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guiseley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mickleover Sports, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guiseley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mickleover Sports - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 1, Thewlis J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 9).

Mickleover is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guiseley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mickleover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Guiseley have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mickleover won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Including matches at home between the teams Mickleover won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mickleover Sports
English NPL Premier Division
05.11.24	Morpeth Town - Mickleover Sports	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Mickleover Sports - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
19.10.24	Stockton Town - Mickleover Sports	3:0 ✺
12.10.24	Mickleover Sports - Hyde United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Leek Town - Mickleover Sports	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Guiseley
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Stevenage Borough - Guiseley	2:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
19.10.24	Ilkeston - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Lancaster City - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Guiseley - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.09.20	Mickleover Sports - Guiseley	1:1

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